The uncertainty of AAPL's earnings & How I think about it
When it comes to earnings, hedge funds have poured millions in trying to profit/predict how earnings would go. The opportunity for AAPL is quickly coming to an uncertain area where price can either go up or down. Here's how I think about it. 1. Previously, AAPL got downgraded in the beginning of January which caused prices to go down. This makes AAPL getting a jump after earnings highly likely. This is also why I entered at $182. 2. Two days after I entered, Bank of America upgraded AAPL to $200. This caused the potential value gap to close quickly. The price shot up to $195 as I am writing this email. 3. This pushes AAPL to all-time high which is also a major resistance area $200. I expect that price will likely be near $200 as there isn't enough momentum to push past this level. This is where AAPL is in a pickle. If AAPL is at $180, $185, I am sure most investors think that it will be a no brainer and invest. If AAPL is at $190-195, some investors will still invest. But AAPL near $200, this is where a good % of investors will wait and see (hoping for AAPL to drop back down below $180 to re-enter). (You know this, I know this and hedge fund knows this) So now you understand the psychology of AAPL investors. $180 a steal, $190 is okay but $200 will wait. This also means there is a lot of buying pressure at $180-190. This also means that you will not likely see $180-190 anymore. This also means that if AAPL earnings is good (or surprisingly good), then AAPL will not drop back to $180 anymore. That's how I think about AAPL's upcoming earnings. Cheers, Eric -- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com Free webinar - how to get 30%: https://5mininvesting.com/free-case-study/ In February, my goal is to help 20 people without a financial background to master investing. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background.