I was chatting with one of my students and he asked - we are waiting a week for monthly passive income because I am bearish right? Yes. That's right. And this got me curious - how important is it to actually predict whether or not next week is bullish or bearish And how much does it impact our win rate for the monthly passive income strategy? I need to know. Being a quant / hedge fund manager / data scientist myself - I need to know EXACTLY how important it is. So - let's do the math In the Investing Accelerator probability calculator, our general rule of thumb is - we only select blue chip stocks where the win rate is greater than 90%. This means there is still a 10% chance of losing money after 30 days to 60 days. But what if we are able to successfully to predict whether or not next week is UP or DOWN? If it is UP, this usually puts our position at a very defensive position and this means we would keep 100% of the profits. If it is DOWN, the premium of the position would increase but it also might reach our strikes before the expiry date. Doo.. doo... doo... doo... (Eric's calculator noise) Just kidding - I am an Excel and programming guy - no calculator on my desk. Back to the win rate. Turns out - IT IS SUPER IMPORTANT. Around 80% of the losses incurred because the next week is going DOWN. 8 out of 10 losses are predicted by next week's bullish or bearishness That means, if we use the monthly passive income strategy and next week is UP, our win rate goes from 90 -> 98%. Obviously, there's an error in prediction. But even if we are able to anticipate half of the bearish week right after we enter, we can improve our success rate from 90 to 95% Combine with the risk management strategy I teach in Investing Accelerator, this makes the monthly passive income strategy even more predictable. So in other words, the weekly coaching calls are important because it helps us avoid losses when we correctly identify next week as bearish (or bullish)