Jan up, Feb down, March up · Invest & Retire Community

Eric Seto

7d (edited) • General discussion

Jan up, Feb down, March up

Let's play a game.

Let's say you knew that the January market is up, February is down, March is up.

What do you do?

Today is Jan 11. If you take profits this week, if you're still bullish for the remainder of January?

Do you take profits this week if you are still bullish this week?

This is exactly the kind of macroeconomic analysis I do every week during the coaching call.

The answer is - you should generally hold long-term unless you see a bearish catalyst.

So you would generally hold on in January until you see a turning point.

It can be the last week of January (Fed' interest rate announcement) or Feb inflation data or Feb annual earnings report.

Either way, a rational investor will always have to evaluate the probability of a correction every week to see if he can get out of the train early before a bear market happens.

Cheers,

Eric

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Eric Seto

Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA)

Chartered Investment Manager (CIM)

Founder of 5MinInvesting.com

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