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Invest & Retire Community

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5 contributions to Invest & Retire Community
HD credit/debit spread
@Eric Seto I just rewatched Z.3 and am now trying to apply it to now. I wonder if you could say more about the HD situation. I was actually in it at 365/355 and had 3 contracts for $0.65 (6.5%) each. As a newbie, I was agonizing over it as I watched it drop continuously on Thursday to $368. I decided to exit 2 contracts at $1.03 ($0.38/3.8% loss) and leave the other one open which of course turned out great on Friday. So as best I can tell, I mostly broke-even: -2x$38 + $65 = -$11 so I don't see much of a need to do a debit spread. But here are some of my questions: 1. Can you please comment about the degree of loss incurred (in pct of the trade only) that would warrant a swap into a debit position? 2. How far ahead in time do you typically go? At least a certain amount? No more than a certain amount? 3. Would you only use SPY in such situations or would you also consider QQQ options? 4. What do you think of my move to sell partials as a risk mitigation strategy? Good idea or is it better to just hold onto it and use the debit spread to make back the money if HD dropped to the $360-364.99 range? For the current situation on SPY, the broker says -1SD is 620 for SPY on 12/31/2025. A 620/610 debit spread costs $9.04 so for 3 contracts I would pay $2712 and if SPY stays above 620 on 12/31/2025, then I receive back $3000 and make $288, or 9.6% on my money. -1SD seems really low risk to me. But typically it sounds like the losses in a credit spread can go much higher and so one would have to take quite a bit more risk to make back the money. Can you elaborate a bit more please?
AVGO for AMPI?
AVGO is usually too volatile for me, but I'm intrigued by this week's opportunity since there was a decently strong hammer candle this week. Curious what others think? Python output: AVGO price: $349. Next earnings date: 2025-12-11 AVGO exp: 2025-11-28 (3.2 wk), Buy str: 290.0, Sell str: 300.0 (14.1% drop, 5/1/0.5y prob 97/96/100%, POS=91%). OpenInt: 385 Mthly Gain: 5.9% AVGO exp: 2025-11-28 (3.2 wk), Buy str: 295.0, Sell str: 305.0 (12.7% drop, 5/1/0.5y prob 97/94/100%, POS=89%). OpenInt: 177 Mthly Gain: 7.1%
2 likes • Nov '25
Actually I saw it in the daily chart
Amazon plans to replace 600,000 US workers with robots!
The AI/robot impact is real. Robots will work 24x7 and will not demand to work from home...... Perhaps become a robot technician? ;)
2 likes • Oct '25
I have worked at AMZN ops in the past. The news casts AMZN in a really bad light, but AMZN is actually unbelievably supportive of workers and trying to help them get educated and advance them to higher paying jobs, paying all tuition, etc. Actually the challenge for growth for AMZN is lack of available workers. AMZN wants to upskill everyone and expand by adding in robotics so they can more efficiently utilize the people. Also, a dirty secret is that turnover is incredibly high in this type of job because you actually have to work hard at it which a lot of people are unwilling to do. So all AMZN has to do is not re-hire and they can quickly downsize their workforce if they wanted to. The news just wants to get clicks so they keep casting Amazon in this really bad light of "eliminating jobs with robotics" but really it's about more efficiently using the people they have available. Also, AMZN is solving problems at incredible scale that no one else is doing, which requires creative solutioning and blazing their own trail.
3 likes • Oct '25
Seeking Alpha actually got it right. My emphasis with ____. https://seekingalpha.com/news/4508911-amazon-plans-to-cut-up-to-30000-jobs---reuters A recent report by The New York Times said Amazon's robotics team is working towards automating 75% of the company’s entire operations and expects to remove 160,000 U.S. roles that would ____otherwise be needed_____ by 2027. The NYT report suggested Amazon is planning to boost its robot automation to the point that it can replace 600,000 jobs it would have ______otherwise had to hire for______ before 2033.
Covered Call ETFs for Income
I met with a friend recently who told me they’ve gone all-in on a few covered call ETFs. The appeal is clear — they can generate steady monthly income by writing options on top of a stock or index position. For income-focused investors, that regular cash flow looks attractive, especially in sideways or choppy markets. Just wondering if others here have looked into this or are doing the same? Right now I’m focused more on growth, but I like learning about new strategies so I can potentially allocate a portion of funds toward it later when it makes sense. My friend is reinvesting everything back as he's still young --- but with a good account size, I heard this can really be a great option for those who want to be hands-off.
4 likes • Sep '25
One expert in dividend income is Armchair Insider. He publishes a ton of stuff and makes ~11% passively with high levels of diversification. He publishes his exact portfolio monthly and you can follow it. But you need a sizeable portfolio to be able to retire on it. I'm not there yet so I appreciate IA. Also I think AMPI is a better way to go than Armchair Insider. I am hopeful I can retire on a 3x smaller account with AMPI. https://armchairinsider.beehiiv.com/p/welcome-armchair-insider https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxU4PhPfJEBgaeYT1rMhvCg
AAPL?
I'm new to the community and just finishing up week 3 of the lessons. The overall direction from Eric has been to hold off on investing during the month of July. As I look at the stocks for companies I like and use everyday, it's actually pretty hard to find a decent stock in which to invest at this moment. The only one I can seem to find is AAPL. When I looked at the bar charts, it looks to me that its consolidation is almost 100% complete and it is about to take off. It's at $212 and the floor was $170 at the height of the tariff wars. It seems like a strike price of $160-$170 is a pretty safe bet for this relatively strong company. Running the 30%/year options spreadsheet shows breakeven at $235-250 and money doubled at $300-310. AAPL's all-time high is $260. Eric, any thoughts on whether this is an attractive investment now vs. in a few weeks? My gut says AAPL is ripe for breaking out if any good news comes along.
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Todd Schoepflin
3
41points to level up
@todd-schoepflin-5986
I'm a video systems engineer. I live with my wife and 6 kids in Seattle WA.

Active 2h ago
Joined May 23, 2025
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