Looking at Silver +160% in 12 months. Jan 1 2026 China Export Control

Eric Seto

2d • General discussion

Right before the end of the year, something caught my attention in the commodity markets.

Usually, I am not a big fan of commodities as I only invest when there's a commodity super cycle.

However, silver has gone up 160% in the last 12 months

Why is that?

Jan 1 2026 - China is implementing an export license (as a method to control) silver exports.

This applies to silver and other precious metals that tech companies need.

This would directly target data centers, chips, and electronics.

Right now, we are seeing a mad rush to purchase silver right before the export control becomes effective on January 1 2026.

However, as an investor, I don't think it is worth it to jump into silver right now because these policies can change on a whim.

For example, China can come out tomorrow and say the export contorl is delayed or it is not as bad as we imagined.

But it is important to keep track of this export license control because it might impact the profitability of tech companies (which means the overall market might go down)

Cheers,

Eric

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Eric Seto

Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA)

Chartered Investment Manager (CIM)

Founder of 5MinInvesting.com

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