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11 contributions to Invest & Retire Community
How much should you invest in each trade? The Kelly Bet.
If you are looking to learn how to allocate your portfolio, then look no further than gamblers. (Yes - gambling) In 1956, John Kelly devised a formula on how much you should invest each trade based on the win / loss ratio. The formula is simple: Win % - Loss % = Your position size each trade. For example: If you have 60% win - 40% loss = 20% of your portfolio per trade. This is the optimal allocation per trade. However, sometimes you may misjudge your win rate (being too optimistic that you will make money) So my suggestion is to cap your trade allocation to 10% max per trade (unless you are investing in index funds - then this rule can be broken). There's also one more hack. If you are able to create a stop loss at breakeven after the trade move in your favour, you can invest again as there's no more risk to your original capital after setting the stop loss. ​ Cheers, Eric ---- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com Free webinar - how to get 30%: https://5mininvesting.com/free-case-study/ In March, my goal is to help 20 people without a financial background to master investing. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth. In the second phase, you will learn monthly passive income to provide a more predictable cash flow (target 30% per year) which can cover your expenses. This will help accelerate your retirement goals. If you are interested, then let's hop on a call to see if you can benefit from the strategies in Investing Accelerator and get 30% per year. During the call, we will map out exactly how you can achieve 30%, what you are lacking, how you can improve.
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New comment Mar 26
2 likes • Mar 15
Interesting. I am currently using 1% and and max 2% rule for swing trading as I find my footing. Once I am consistent I will scale up.
3 likes • Mar 17
@Eric Seto There is no commission from Charles Schwab for online trades. I know all about how those commission that can eat up profits. I recall Fidelity commission back in early 2000s so I would have to limit trades because of it. I am assuming they make their profit on the spread these days. Nothing is free.
Bitcoin $100,000 in 2024
Some people compare Bitcoin to Tulip mania back in 1637 (a bubble). ​While it may be true, there's a mathematical limitation on the number of Bitcoins in the world - 21 million. And Bitcoin does not get erased nor regenerate as long as you don't lose your wallet. So here's my forecast for BTC in 2024 in a very bullish scenario. Bitcoin will reach and likely pass​​ $100,000 this year. ​(While it may be obvious to some that Bitcoin may go much higher, this is my forecast.) Just to give you an idea - Fidelity forecast Bitcoin will be $1 billion PER COIN by 2038. Cheers, Eric ---- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com Free webinar - how to get 30%: https://5mininvesting.com/free-case-study/ In March, my goal is to help 10 people without a financial background to master investing. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth. In the second phase, you will learn monthly passive income to provide a more predictable cash flow (target 30% per year) which can cover your expenses. This will help accelerate your retirement goals. If you are interested, then let's hop on a call to see if you can benefit from the strategies in Investing Accelerator and get 30% per year. During the call, we will map out exactly how you can achieve 30%, what you are lacking, how you can improve. If you have any questions about the program, you can ask during the call as well. Schedule a call here: https://bit.ly/48mJlgR Remember to go to the Classroom tab for additional investing resources.
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New comment Mar 27
4 likes • Mar 11
I have Bitcoin and Eth. I am only fractions in at $23k to test the waters. I always take risk so there you go. The digital coin banks pay more interest also. Again just throw away money testing to keep an eye and watch it play out. I do the same with stocks I want to watch. I buy 1 share so I don't lose site of them. To my surprise most of those 1 stocks are up a good percentage so is my bitcoins. Just don't be the last one holding the bag 😆
1 like • Mar 12
@Yanela Kissoon I am also using Coinbase app. I am no expert, but you have to have some skin in the game to win. This is experimental for me, but I like to explore. I chose Bitcoin, and Eth as they were the most popular and most likely to succeed. I don't trade all the other coins as there are a ton of them. You can chart them like stocks find your entry. My focus is on stocks, and forex at the moment. I don't have a wallet yet as there were issues with wallets earlier and waiting it out.
DIS left the doc
I picked up a small position in DIS, but looks like it is moving up. Also the park season is here. Do you due diligence and let me know what you think. I would be interested in know how people would play the option on this.
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New comment Feb 27
2 likes • Feb 16
@Eugene Voutchkov Thanks for the advice Eugene. I am always open to other people's input. I think you are right, but I also surprisingly see a bull flag forming. However just in case I think I will put a stop loss in place. I could be wrong as I only started trading this method this year rather then the buy and hold pattern I was doing all these years.
3 likes • Feb 22
I got stopped out of DIS. Nice little run. Moving to the next stock while I keep my eyes out for the reversal.
Jeff, Manju, Mike made 43%, 146%, 89% in 2 months
705 - Jeff made 43% from DIS in 2 months 706 - Manju made 146% from DIS in 2 months 707 - Mike made 89% from DIS in 1 month If you track Disney's performance over time, you will observe the key change in trend comes from the change in CEO. The previous CEO was not able to bring the stock price higher after pandemic. Thus, the board decided to bring back the CEO before that (Bob Iger). This shifted Disney's focus from Disney Plus to Theme park and movie revenues. You can also​ observe that a change in CEO does not result in the stock trend change immediately. But it usually only happens once the CEO starts providing results. Cheers, Eric --- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com Free webinar - how to get 30%: https://5mininvesting.com/free-case-study/ In March, my goal is to help 20 people without a financial background to master investing. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth. In the second phase, you will learn monthly passive income to provide a more predictable cash flow (target 30% per year) which can cover your expenses. This will help accelerate your retirement goals. If you are interested, then let's hop on a call to see if you can benefit from the strategies in Investing Accelerator and get 30% per year. During the call, we will map out exactly how you can achieve 30%, what you are lacking, how you can improve. If you have any questions about the program, you can ask during the call as well. Schedule a call here: https://bit.ly/48mJlgR Remember to go to the Classroom tab for additional investing resources.
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New comment Feb 27
4 likes • Feb 22
Congrats!
Forecast: Apple will rally.
Compared to the other tech stocks, AAPL (Apple) has been lagging. I forecast that February and March will be rally months for Apple. ​In Investing Accelerator, we already placed our position in AAPL. And based on my model, the next 3 weeks will be crucial for AAPL (likely to go up). My target is for AAPL to break its highest high $200 (going slightly above $200). With the new product Apple Vision Pro and Apple moving into the AI space, I think it is quite achievable. For a more detailed / year-long forecast for AAPL, refer to Investing Accelerator coaching calls.​ Cheers, Eric ---- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com Free webinar - how to get 30%: https://5mininvesting.com/free-case-study/ In February, my goal is to help 10 people without a financial background to master investing. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth. In the second phase, you will learn monthly passive income to provide a more predictable cash flow (target 30% per year) which can cover your expenses. This will help accelerate your retirement goals. If you are interested, then let's hop on a call to see if you can benefit from the strategies in Investing Accelerator and get 30% per year. During the call, we will map out exactly how you can achieve 30%, what you are lacking, how you can improve. If you have any questions about the program, you can ask during the call as well. Schedule a call here: https://bit.ly/48mJlgR Remember to go to the Classroom tab for additional investing resources.
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New comment Feb 16
5 likes • Feb 16
I am glad there is some good news. I was thinking of selling some of my long term holding on appl tomorrow to lock in some profits. The chart wasn't looking good after hitting it's high.
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Ketan P
4
49points to level up
@ketan-p-2054
long term investor

Active 5d ago
Joined Jan 13, 2024
US East Coast
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