Apple break down the trend created since the spring this year and I expect to retest the $250-$260, which coincide with the 100EMA and the previous high from end of 2024. I sold my entire position in Apple (I need to say that was not too big) and plan to start adding when is reaching the support area.

As we are approaching 2026, my student asks me - when should I invest in small caps given large caps are so high? What about international markets? Currently, the market is high Not just for US, but for Asia and Europe as well. Large caps are high mainly due to the AI bubble which makes you feel like you should pursue smaller "unnoticed companies." This is exactly the trap I fell into in the last market cycle. This causes me (and potentially you) to find "hidden gems" when the market is high and find small companies to invest in. The problem with small caps is that - it generally drops faster than large cap when we are in a bear market. Large caps can drop and they will recover most of the time The key difference between large-cap and small-cap is that small-caps can drop and never recover.​​​​​​​​ This is why during good times, you can invest in small caps for a short term momentum play but not to invest in small caps hoping they will survive the bear makret (becasue they usually don't). Instead, you should find small caps once you observe and see the bear market ending. ​​​ ​ Then and only then, should you find great small caps with good fundamentals and strong momentum to invest in.​ Large cap is my bread and butter because I know it will come back and recover given enough time while there is no such "promise" for small caps. ​ Cheers, Eric ---- Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com In January, my goal is to help 20 people without a financial background to master investing through Investing Accelerator. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth. In the second phase, you will learn monthly passive income to provide a more predictable cash flow (target 30% per year) which can cover your expenses. This will help accelerate your retirement goals.

Most people are taught to be buy and hold investors as you cannot time market. Yes - this is true. In other words If you cannot time the market, just buy and hold. However It is possible to time the market and this is how you can achieve a higher than average return. The math is simple. Imagine S&P 500 makes 10% per year. You find a pattern (e.g. negative momentum, interest rate increase, bad earnings etc) Option 1: You hold cash and the market went down 5% in one week and you buy it back This means you are higher than the market by 5% = 15% per year. This also means that you just need to hold cash one week out of the year to achieve such a gain Option 2: You exit and you short the market when it went down 5% and buy it back after 1 week This means you are higher than the market by 10% (you made 5% on the way down and 5% on the way up) = 20% per year You just need to be right about one week out of the year going down to beat the market by 10% This is what I spend a lot of time studying - patterns that would forecast the near term to be bearish. This is why it is easy for a long / short strategy to perform better than buy and hold. Cheers, Eric Eric Seto Chartered Professional Accountant (CPA) Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) Founder of 5MinInvesting.com In December, my goal is to help 20 people without a financial background to master investing through Investing Accelerator. Investing Accelerator is designed for people without a financial background. The goal is to achieve 30% return per year. In the first phase, you will learn long term investing and targeting 30% for tax free compound growth. This will help accelerate your overall wealth. In the second phase, you will learn monthly passive income to provide a more predictable cash flow (target 30% per year) which can cover your expenses. This will help accelerate your retirement goals. Here's a step by step guide on how to join Investing Accelerator for free: https://www.skool.com/invest-retire-community-1699/how-to-join-investing-accelerator-for-free

Good news for Canadians... I just found out that some of the CDR shares are eligible for option trading. I tested in Questrade account and they are available. As per my list the following CDR shares are available to trade now: GOOG, META, MSFT, AMZN, NVDA, TSLA, AAPL, COST, BRK, AMD

Friends, I want to share my learnings on how to enter into high probability trades based on technical analysis and trade selection criteria. This is what I personally try to follow myself. Stock Selection: From the top 30 SPY stocks (based on market capital), set a filter to identify stocks that are: a) oversold on RSI: Which means their RSI is below 30 (you can choose below 35 to get more) b) MACD Bullish Crossover: The MACD indicator of the stock is showing a bullish crossover (MACD line crosses the signal line). Showing a reversal c) Stock's business and fundamentals are still intact d) There is a strong accumulation of the stock (i.e., even though stock is falling it is being accumulated or bought more) Trade Entry: When all the above filters are met you can make any of the below trades a) Sell a 365DTE put on the stock at 50 delta setting a 25% profit target (my favorite and has 90%+ chance of success) b) Sell a 30-45DTE put at 30 delta with a 50% profit target c) Sell a 30-45DTE put spread with the short leg at 16 delta and long leg 5 or 10 points below. 50% profit target