Someone asked about the cruise line sector. Here’s my read on all three names. --- CCL (Carnival) — Bullish (Position Trade Potential) Price is dropping right now. I’m not interested in trading this drop. What I am watching: price is trading into higher timeframe accumulation. There’s a fairly large demand zone at 15.07-21.78 that could be an entry if price retraces that far. There’s also a price inefficiency at 20.50-21.55 — price moved through here too fast and gaps like that tend to get filled. This one has potential as a position trade, but for me to get interested, price has to pull back further into that demand. GAME PLAN IF price retraces into 15.07-21.78 → potential long entry IF price fills the inefficiency at 20.50-21.55 and holds → early sign of buyer interest IF price breaks below 15.07 → thesis invalidated Risk: 0.5-1% of account per setup. Daily chart --- RCL (Royal Caribbean) — Bullish (Better Option If You Like Cruise Lines) If you’re bullish on cruise lines, RCL is the cleaner setup right now. Price is trading between HTF supply at 335.33-356.17 and HTF demand at 245.25-268.55. Right now price is near or inside that HTF demand — that’s good positioning. The issue: lower timeframe hasn’t shown strength yet — meaning on the shorter charts (1hr, 4hr), buyers haven’t proven they’re stepping in. No confirmation yet. Two approaches: 1. DCA approach (early entry): If you’re keen on entering before lower timeframe confirms, you can buy in small increments as price pulls deeper into the demand zone, as long as price respects the lower bound at 245.25. The idea is you’re building a position gradually rather than going all-in at one level. If 245.25 breaks, thesis is done — exit everything. Why consider this? Sometimes price bounces perfectly off the demand zone and we never get that clean lower timeframe confirmation. DCA lets you participate if that happens, at the cost of a wider average entry.

Putting together this week's watchlist. If there's a name you want me to run through the framework, drop it below. I'll pull up the structure, check for clean zones, and if it scores well enough, it gets a full execution package with levels. What do you want me to look at?

Final results on the SPX short from yesterday's live trade post: EXECUTION SUMMARY: Direction: Short Entry Zone: 6777-6798 (fresh M15 supply on remitigation) Stop: Above 6840 (HTF supply high) Target: 6700 Result: 5.5R — full TP Duration: Same day WHAT HAPPENED: HTF supply at 6840 did its job. M15 distribution confirmed sellers were in control. Fresh supply at 6777-6798 gave us the entry on remitigation. Price dropped clean to 6700. WHAT WORKED: - Reading the HTF bias first (supply at 6840) gave directional conviction - - M15 distribution confirmed the thesis before entry - - Patience on the remitigation instead of chasing the first drop THE LESSON: Day trades work when HTF structure gives you a clear directional bias and intraday structure gives you a clean entry. Without the HTF read, this is a coin flip. With it, it's a 5.5R trade. Did you take this one? Drop your results below — entry, exit, and what you learned. If you watched but didn't enter — what held you back? That's a learning opportunity too.

A member asked me if the ADBE setup is valid again. Honestly — no. I don't like the market structure on it right now. But it made me realize I should share the names I actually DO like. These are my favorite setups and highest conviction position trades as of today. Two I'm already in, one I'm building a plan for. --- MSFT (Microsoft) — Long — Active Position Been on the watchlist multiple times. Nothing has changed. Demand is holding. HTF demand at 355-395. Institutional buyers stepped in here and price has tested this zone repeatedly without weakness. Key levels at 350 and 387. Technically strong. Fundamentally strong. Volume profile strong. One of my favorite setups out here. Mag 7. ⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE Entry Zone: 355-395 (HTF demand — positioned from this zone) Stop: Below 355 (acceptance below invalidates) T1: 455 T2: Above 455 (structural targets developing) Risk: 0.5% of account Conviction: 8/10 — No weakness at demand despite multiple tests. Technically, fundamentally, and volume profile all aligned. Patience play — needs catalyst. 📋 GAME PLAN IF price shows strength from here → targeting 455+ IF price holds without strength → patience, stay in, stop honored IF acceptance below 355 → thesis invalidated, full exit Charts: Weekly | Daily --- GRAB — Long — Active Position (DCA) Super key level at $4. Just look at what this chart has done at this price historically. Multi-year accumulation between October 2024 and September 2025. Price broke out. Now retesting the origin of that breakout demand at 3.36-4.20. Started DCA'ing into this one. Fundamentals are very strong. Price is at the value area low on the volume profile — 70% of volume sits above. Institutions agree fair value is at least around $5. The price action is telling. October 2025 had aggressive, inefficient selling. Now? Barely any selling pressure. Every downswing is getting smaller. Compression. That's accumulation.

Status: Entry Filled / Managing TRADE SETUP Entry: - Long position entered at 302.76 - Entry taken inside higher-timeframe demand: 278–297 Key Level: - 279 - 255 Stop Loss: - 255 (hard stop) - A break below this level invalidates the trade Targets: - T1: 343 - T2: 400 - T3: 431 - T4: 500 - T5: 500+ MANAGEMENT PLAN - If price holds above 278.23, the position stays open. - If price breaks below 278.23, the position is closed — no re-entry. - At 343, partial profits will be taken and risk reduced. - If price continues higher, the remaining position is managed toward higher targets. - If price moves sideways, patience is required — no forced action. WHY THIS TRADE MAKES SENSE Price has pulled back into a higher-timeframe demand zone between 278 and 297. This zone was responsible for the prior move that carried price higher before distribution began near 635. When price leaves an area with strong expansion and does not return for an extended period, that area becomes a reference point for future reactions. The purpose of this trade is to observe whether that same area continues to attract buyers when price revisits it. At the moment, price is beginning to stabilize on the daily timeframe, suggesting that selling pressure may be slowing. This is not confirmation of a reversal, but it is consistent with what is typically seen when price responds to higher-timeframe demand. Risk is clearly defined. The position is invalidated if price trades below 278.23, which removes the demand thesis. As long as price remains above this level, the trade remains structurally intact. This is a location-based position, taken with the expectation that price may require time to develop. The focus is not on short-term movement, but on whether price can hold above demand and gradually work higher over time. 🔔 Tap the bell to stay updated as this trade develops.