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[ACTIVE] — NFLX — LONG — SWING
Status: Pending TRADE SETUP (EXECUTION FIRST) • Entry Zone / Trigger: Price trading inside HTF demand, near the lower boundary of the zone. • Stop / Invalidation: Below the HTF demand zone (slight breathing room). • Initial Targets: T1: 100 T2: 103 T3: ~114 • Order Type: Market entry at the open (location-based entry). • Risk / Size Guidance: Max 0.5–1R risk. This is a higher-risk setup by location, sized accordingly. MANAGEMENT PLAN (IF → THEN RULES) • IF entry fills → THEN no changes until price reaches first target or stop. • IF stop is hit → THEN trade is closed, no re-entry unless a new plan is posted. • IF price reaches T1 → THEN partial taken and stop adjusted to reduce risk. • IF price reaches T2 → THEN manage remainder based on momentum and structure. • IF price fails to hold demand → THEN thesis is invalidated. CONTEXT & THESIS (OPTIONAL READ) • Structure: Earnings gap down directly into a high-quality higher-timeframe demand zone. • Level Logic: This zone previously acted as a strong accumulation area and aligns with a key level near 82.35, increasing the odds of a reaction. • Why This Works: This is a location-first trade. Risk is clearly defined below demand, while upside expands meaningfully if buyers defend the zone. • Invalidation Beyond Stop: Clean acceptance below demand would signal structural failure and negate the long thesis. 🔔 Tap the bell on this post to turn on notifications. If you don’t tap the bell, you may miss updates on this trade.
[ACTIVE] — NFLX — LONG — SWING
[Closed] – PYPL – [Bias: Long] – [Trade Type: Swing / Position]
- Entry: Current levels inside demand (57.68–58.82) - Stop: 56.46 (hard invalidation) - Target(s): Reasoning: Price is trading directly into a higher-timeframe demand zone at 56.51–58.94, with a nested demand forming inside that range at 57.68–58.82. This places PYPL at a clear make-or-break location after an extended selloff. Recent price action has been objectively weak, with prior demand levels failing to hold, which is why this setup is based strictly on location and risk control, not trend strength. As long as price holds above 56.46, buyers have an opportunity to defend demand and rotate price back toward prior structure. A clean break and acceptance below 56.46 would signal failure of demand and invalidate the bullish thesis.
[Closed] – PYPL – [Bias: Long] – [Trade Type: Swing / Position]
[ACTIVE] – DUOL – LONG – POSITION
Status: Entry Filled / Managing TRADE SETUP (EXECUTION FIRST) - Entry Zone / Trigger:145–161 HTF demand zone (entered inside demand for asymmetric R:R) - Stop / Invalidation:Below 145 (loss of HTF demand invalidates thesis) - Initial Targets: T1: 200 T2: 246 T3: 275 T4: 275+ (extension if momentum expands) - Order Type: Long exposure via LEAPS - Risk / Size Guidance: Max 0.5–1R risk(This is a higher-risk entry → size reduced accordingly) MANAGEMENT PLAN (IF → THEN RULES) - IF entry fills → THEN no changes until invalidation or target interaction - IF stop is hit → THEN trade is closed, no re-entry unless a new structure forms - IF price reaches T1 (200) → THEN take partial profits, move stop to breakeven or structure - IF price reaches T2 (246) → THEN manage remainder based on momentum - IF momentum expands cleanly → THEN hold runner toward 275+ - IF structure fails before T1 → THEN exit per stop rules CONTEXT & THESIS (OPTIONAL LEAD) - Structure:Price is trading deep inside higher-timeframe demand (145–161) - Level Logic:This demand zone previously acted as strong buyer support.Weekly volume is beginning to expand, which can be an early signal of participation returning and potential bottoming. - Why This Works:This is not a textbook confirmation entry — it’s an early asymmetric bet.If this HTF demand holds, reversals typically start from inside the zone, not after price leaves it.Downside is defined, upside is multiple R. - Invalidation Beyond Stop:Sustained acceptance below HTF demand would indicate buyers failed and the base thesis is wrong. Tap the 🔔 bell on this post to turn on notifications.If you don’t tap the bell, you’ll miss updates on this trade.
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[ACTIVE] – DUOL – LONG – POSITION
[ACTIVE] – CRM – LONG – POSITION
Status: Managing / Potential Add TRADE SETUP (EXECUTION FIRST) - Entry Zone / Trigger 226.0 – 237.6 demand New HTF demand that invalidated the prior 252–260 supply Ideal entries are inside the zone If already tapped, entries closer to demand are acceptable with reduced size - Stop / Invalidation 221.9 Loss of this level invalidates the demand and the thesis - Initial Targets T1: 283 T2: 316 T3: 369 - Order Type Limit orders at demand No chasing - Risk / Size Guidance Max 0.5–1R risk on the position If adding, size down and treat adds independently MANAGEMENT PLAN (IF → THEN RULES) - IF entry fills THEN no changes until price reaction is seen - IF stop is hit THEN trade is closed and thesis is invalid - IF price reaches 283 (T1) THEN partials allowed and stops can trail to structure - IF price reaches 316 (T2) THEN manage remainder based on momentum - IF momentum expands THEN hold runner toward 369 - IF demand fails THEN no re-entry unless a new HTF zone forms CONTEXT & THESIS (OPTIONAL READ) - Structure CRM formed a strong HTF demand at 226.0 – 237.6 This directly invalidated the 252–260 supply Clear structural shift in favor of buyers - Level Logic 266–274 supply has not fully broken It has been mitigated multiple times Odds increase for seller exhaustion on the next test - Why This Works Buyers defended demand aggressively Overhead supply continues to weaken This is a high-probability, high R:R position entry — not a chase - Invalidation Beyond Stop A clean loss of 221.9 signals buyers failed to defend HTF demand The idea is structurally wrong OPTIONS NOTE (POSITION TRADE) - This is not a short-dated options idea - If using options instead of shares Use LEAPS only (1–2 years out) Strike selection in the 250–260 range Same stop applies at 221.9 Structure matters more than the contract TRANSPARENCY - I am already in this position - This demand zone represents an area where I may add shares - Adds are treated separately and sized down
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[ACTIVE] – CRM – LONG – POSITION
[Closed] – SPX500 – LONG – DAY
Status: Setup never triggered TRADE SETUP Entry Zone / Trigger: - 6909–6929 demand (fan zone) - → Looking for volume expansion or bullish inversion to confirm buyers Stop / Invalidation: - 6909 Initial Targets: - Intraday liquidity / prior reaction highs (managed dynamically) CONTEXT & THESIS (OPTIONAL READ) Structure: - Intraday pullback into previously marked demand within a broader bullish structure. Level Logic: - 6909–6929 is a prior demand / fan zone where responsive buyers should step in. - Acceptance below this area signals short-term weakness. Alternate Demand (Next Re-Evaluation Zone): - 6820–6842→ Clean middle demand for reassessment if the upper zone fails. Invalidation Beyond Stop: - Sustained acceptance below 6909 negates the long thesis for this session.
[Closed] – SPX500 – LONG – DAY
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