Weekly Watchlist — Full Zone Map + Game Plans (March 31)
The market is in distribution. Here's my full read across 8 names — zones, scenarios, and game plans. ZONE MAP — screenshot this for your charts: SPX — Supply — 6,542-6,616 — Distribution supply (short zone) ARM — Supply — 159-183 — Active short (entered last week) ARM — TP zone — 140-125 — Take profit area ARM — Extended target — 100 — If momentum continues META — Gap fill — 506-516 — Want filled before DCA begins META — Demand floor — 479 — Bottom of HTF demand META — T1 — 640 — First profit target PLTR — Demand — 126-138 — Low quality bounce play PLTR — Short entry — ~155 — Short on retrace PLTR — Bounce target — ~150 — Quick long exit AMZN — Demand 1 — 183-196 — Upper demand zone AMZN — Demand 2 — 165-178 — Lower demand zone NVDA — Supply — 188-197 — Short zone XAUUSD — Range — ~4,100-4,700 — Consolidation (low confidence) MU — POC / Supply — ~420 — Short zone ACTION RIGHT NOW: Set alerts at SPX 6,542 · ARM 140 · META 516 and 479 · PLTR 138 and 155 · AMZN 196 and 178 · NVDA 188 · MU 420. When one hits, come back to this post — your game plan is below. The market environment is distribution across most names. I'm biased short until structure says otherwise. Here's exactly what I'm watching and what I'll do when each scenario triggers. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ SPX 500 — Short from 6,542-6,616 (distribution supply) Clear distribution phase. Previous price action around these levels has been super efficient — the easiest path forward is down. I see at minimum a few more percentage points of downside unless a real catalyst changes the picture. Trigger: Price pulls into 6,542-6,616 + LTF rejection / selling pressure. 1. Watch for 1hr rejection or structure break inside the zone 2. Enter short on confirmed LTF selling pressure 3. Stop: Above 6,616 (above the supply zone) 4. Targets: Watching for continuation lower — will update with specific levels as price develops 5. Risk: 0.5% of account Why 6,600 is the highest probability level: Previous price action here was efficient — price moved through quickly without leaving unfilled orders. That efficiency means there's no demand to absorb selling. When price returns to an efficient area, it tends to continue in the same direction — down.