4d • General discussion
Tom Lee - December Rally: We see a strong setup for a year-end rally
We see a strong setup for a year-end rally driven by...
- Fed & QT: The Fed is set to cut rates, and crucially, QT is ending (historically a bullish signal).
- Economy: Underlying health is strong with pent-up demand in housing and manufacturing.
- Visibility: The end of the government shutdown restores economic data visibility.
- Positioning: Active managers are "offside" and likely to chase performance into year-end.
- Technicals: Markets reached oversold levels in November (lowest RSI since April).
- Seasonality: December historically finishes strong, especially after a pullback.
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Tom Lee - December Rally: We see a strong setup for a year-end rally
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