9d • General discussion
💰 Periods When to Make Money 💰
📆 Back in the 1880s, economist George Tritch created a simple but powerful market-cycle model called “Periods When to Make Money.”
Surprisingly, it still mirrors the behavior of modern markets: stocks, indices, commodities, and even crypto.
✍️ He described three repeating phases:
📉 A — Panic & sharp reversals (start of major crises)
📈 B — Overheated peaks (best time to take profit)
💰 C — Depressed prices & accumulation (best time to buy)
❓ Why this matters now:
This chart highlights long-term cycles of growth and crises, including the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, the 2008 crash, and the COVID downturn.
Across cycles, the same pattern repeats:
1️⃣ Panic leads to accumulation phases (C)
2️⃣ Accumulation turns into strong rallies (B)
3️⃣ Euphoria eventually triggers reversals (A)
4️⃣ Different assets behave differently, but investor psychology rarely changes.
👉 Where are we now?
🔼 The chart suggests we’ve been in a strong growth phase, with US indices, stocks, and crypto hitting new ATH.
🔽 This implies that the period from 2026 to 2032 could bring a more significant correction cycle.
⚠️ Important note:
This model isn’t a strict or perfectly accurate forecast.
However, it can serve as a useful guide for determining when to optimize profits and when to make long-term investments during deep value phases.
#Education
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💰 Periods When to Make Money 💰
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