Status: Managing / Potential Add
TRADE SETUP (EXECUTION FIRST)
- Entry Zone / Trigger
226.0 – 237.6 demand
New HTF demand that invalidated the prior 252–260 supply
Ideal entries are inside the zone
If already tapped, entries closer to demand are acceptable with reduced size
- Stop / Invalidation
221.9
Loss of this level invalidates the demand and the thesis
- Initial Targets
T1: 283
T2: 316
T3: 369
- Order Type
Limit orders at demand
No chasing
- Risk / Size Guidance
Max 0.5–1R risk on the position
If adding, size down and treat adds independently
MANAGEMENT PLAN (IF → THEN RULES)
- IF entry fills
THEN no changes until price reaction is seen
- IF stop is hit
THEN trade is closed and thesis is invalid
- IF price reaches 283 (T1)
THEN partials allowed and stops can trail to structure
- IF price reaches 316 (T2)
THEN manage remainder based on momentum
- IF momentum expands
THEN hold runner toward 369
- IF demand fails
THEN no re-entry unless a new HTF zone forms
CONTEXT & THESIS (OPTIONAL READ)
- Structure
CRM formed a strong HTF demand at 226.0 – 237.6
This directly invalidated the 252–260 supply
Clear structural shift in favor of buyers
- Level Logic
266–274 supply has not fully broken
It has been mitigated multiple times
Odds increase for seller exhaustion on the next test
- Why This Works
Buyers defended demand aggressively
Overhead supply continues to weaken
This is a high-probability, high R:R position entry — not a chase
- Invalidation Beyond Stop
A clean loss of 221.9 signals buyers failed to defend HTF demand
The idea is structurally wrong
OPTIONS NOTE (POSITION TRADE)
- This is not a short-dated options idea
- If using options instead of shares
Use LEAPS only (1–2 years out)
Strike selection in the 250–260 range
Same stop applies at 221.9
Structure matters more than the contract
TRANSPARENCY
- I am already in this position
- This demand zone represents an area where I may add shares
- Adds are treated separately and sized down
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