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CRM Earnings Put Ratio Into Agentforce Test
CRM reports after the bell, and the setup is actually fascinating. The stock sits around $235, down 36% from highs and 30% YTD. Growth has slowed, but fundamentals aren't broken. They're just… less sexy. IV is pricing a 7-8% move, skew is modest, and this is exactly the type of environment where I want to be slightly long CRM and short rich downside vol, with a wide cushion if we get a controlled pullback. Let's see what Marc Benioff brings us tonight!
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CRM Earnings Put Ratio Into Agentforce Test
A Sector Spread With Teeth: XLV-XLE Pair Trade
Hey, in the previous posts, I shared that rotation charts are finally giving us clean signals: XLV (Healthcare) keeps gaining relative strength, while XLE (Energy) is recovering after weeks of underperformance. Both sectors moved into a decision zone, and today I'm showing the exact structure I'm using to trade that divergence in the hedge fund. Part 1: XLE Call Debit Spread (Defined-Risk Snapback Play) - Buy 88C / Sell 91C Jan 16 (51 DTE), Debit: $1.59, Max Profit: $141 - A clean, defined-risk way to play the standard Energy bounce inside a choppy, low-volatility range. If XLE mean-reverts toward 90–92, this structure pays quickly Part 2: XLV Call Ratio Spread (Harvesting Exhaustion) - Buy 160C / Sell 2× 163C Jan 16 (51 DTE), Max Profit: $357, Max Risk is undefined (but extremely manageable in XLV). - XLV is extended, overbought, and showing early fatigue. Elevated IV makes upper-strike calls expensive, perfect for a ratio spread that benefits from slowing momentum or shallow consolidation. Why it works as a pairs trade? These aren't two isolated ideas, they're one combined expression: - XLE - defined-risk long delta where bounce probability is high - XLV - premium capture where trend exhaustion is visible - Combined - smooth Greeks, positive theta, and exposure to sector divergence rather than index direction. This is how you express rotation and sector behavior without guessing the market's next move. A clean, elegant pairs structure built for this macro regime.
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A Sector Spread With Teeth: XLV-XLE Pair Trade
GOOGL Earnings: Volatility Term Structure Arbitrage?
Hi, earnings season keeps delivering setups, and tonight's main event is Alphabet (GOOGL). After a 38% run in Q3 and record-high IV into the print, it's the perfect playground for advanced volatility structures. One of my favorite plays here (definitely not for beginners) is the Calendarized Call Ratio Spread. This trade doesn't play direction, but volatility term structure. Ahead of earnings, front-month (Nov) options trade at much higher implied volatility than back-month (Dec). We're selling two overpriced short-term calls to finance one longer-term call, building a temporary edge as front-end IV collapses right after earnings. So, you're essentially selling panic to buy time. Note: this is a very advanced structure with unlimited risk to the upside. It requires active management!
GOOGL Earnings: Volatility Term Structure Arbitrage?
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