P1: Christian belief is based on biblical events.
P2: Biblical event X contradicts our regular experience e.g: Moses recieving the ten commendments by God.
C: Therefore christianity is probably false.
For me the weak point is P2, because the fact that some event contradicts our regular experience, is by no means reason enough to deny it. The only thing that could be said is that Moses recieving the TC is unprobable given our regular knowledge, but it can't be said that the it never happened. In addition, I think it could also be argued that there are many genres in the bible, and Moses recieving the TC should not be interpreted literally (skeptics typically present those passages in caricatured tone). In response skeptic could counter with the question: who decides how the bible should be interpreted in certain passages? Here I understand that redemptive hermeneutics offers a satisfactory explanation. Those are my toughts for the moment.
Would love to hear what you guys think.