Video Analysis on HYPE Technical Setup, from our live call earlier today.
๐ HYPE Technical Analysis
[40:46-41:30]
Chart Pattern Recognition
Key observation: Double Top Formation ๐
Technical Levels:
- Double top resistance (likely broken if ETH motors to $5k)
- Support: ~$40 ๐
- 200-day MA support: $28 (deeper support)
Outlook: Expecting upside break with ETH strength ๐
๐ฏ HYPE Price Targets Using Fibonacci
[41:30-43:17]
Fibonacci Analysis
Key Levels to Watch:
- 0.618 retracement: Price found support here โ
- 0.786 level: Secondary target
- 1.618 extension: ~$73-75 target ๐ฏ
Hyperliquid Fundamentals
Why bullish on HYPE:
- Hyper EVM chain with HyperCore Layer 1
- Perp DEX dominance
- Volume: More than most competitors
- $20 billion monthly volume (possibly daily!)
DeFi Llama Stats
- DEX Volume: $1.26 billion (24 hours)
- Note: This isn't total trading volume
- Actual trading volume: ~$20 billion/day ๐ฅ
๐ง Hyperliquid Market Position
[43:17-43:27]
DEX Dominance
- Extremely liquid marketplace ๐ง
- Majority of Perp DEX trading occurs here
- "HYPE token likely to perform well"
๐๏ธ Ethena Protocol Overview
[43:27-43:48]
Introduction to Athena
"One of my favorites" โญ
Key Points:
- Most successful stablecoin issuers
- Basis-backed stablecoin product
- USDE: Yield-bearing stable
๐ฐ USDE Mechanics
[43:48-43:58]
The Hedge Fund Model
USDE represents:
- Yield generated by Athena's hedge fund strategy
- Almost like a tokenized hedge fund yield ๐
โ๏ธ Ethena's Trading Strategy
[43:58-44:26]
The Basis Trade
Long Position:
- Yield-bearing assets (wrapped staked ETH)
- ~3% staking yield
Short Position:
- Futures contracts (equal notional size)
- Capturing funding rates
- Delta neutral positioning ๐ฏ
Result: Capturing both staking yield AND funding rates!
๐ก๏ธ Risk Management with Boros
[44:26-45:07]
Game-Changing Development
Before Boros:
- Biggest risk: Funding rate volatility
- Especially dangerous in bear markets ๐ป
With Boros on Pendle:
- Can now hedge funding rate exposure โ
- Benefits Athena, Resolve, and other basis trade funds
- Removes primary risk from strategy
๐ ENA Token Analysis
[45:07-45:35]
Athena's Growth Trajectory
Market Position:
- Leading with USDE, sUSDE and variants
- Capturing more yield-bearing stable sector share
- ENA token starting to push higher ๐
๐ฏ ENA Price Targets
[45:35-46:22]
Alt Season Expectations
Why ENA will outperform:
- "One of the best projects/protocols out there, period" ๐
- Best projects rally first in alt season
Price Targets:
- Minimum: $1.10 (not quite double from here)
- Resistance: 50% move just to hit first resistance
- True alt season: Resistance would break
๐ ENA Ultimate Targets
[46:22-46:45]
Bull Case Scenario
During true alt season:
- Resistance at current levels won't hold
- All-time high target: $1.50
- That's a 2-bagger (100% gain) from current levels! ๐ฐ
"This is one of the best projects in crypto" โญ
๐ Pendle Opportunities with ENA
[46:45-47:28]
Available Strategies on Pendle
Option 1: Fixed Yield ๐
- Swap into PT (Principal Token)
- Earn 32% fixed for next 40 days
- On staked ENA (mainnet)
Option 2: Liquidity Provision ๐ง
- Become an LP
- Earn 20% in LP position
- Minimal divergence loss
๐ Key Takeaways
HYPE Analysis
๐ฏ Target: $73-75 (1.618 Fibonacci extension)
๐ช Strength: $20B+ daily volume on Hyperliquid
๐ Catalyst: ETH strength above $5k
ENA:
๐ Best-in-class protocol status
๐ก๏ธ Risk hedged via Boros on Pendle
๐ฐ Targets: $1.10 minimum, $1.50 in full alt season
๐ Yield opportunities: 20-32% on Pendle
Strategic Positioning
โ
Both HYPE and ENA positioned as top altcoin picks
โ
Strong fundamentals + technical setups
โ
Multiple ways to earn yield while holding
Bottom Line: These represent some of the highest quality opportunities in the altcoin space with clear catalysts and strong risk/reward profiles! ๐