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The LP Risk Trifecta: A Synthesis of Gamma, Time, and Vega in Uniswap v3 🎯
1.0 Technical Executive Summary 📊 A Uniswap v3 Concentrated Liquidity Position (CLP) is not a passive investment but a complex, short-volatility derivative whose performance is dictated by the principles of options pricing. The profitability of a liquidity provider (LP) is governed by the dynamic interplay of three core risk factors: ⚡ Negative Gamma - which accelerates divergence loss ⏰ Characteristic Time (τ) - which defines the finite lifespan of a position's fee-earning potential 📈 Strategic Vega - which measures the position's negative exposure to changes in market volatility These factors, collectively termed the "LP Risk Trifecta," are inextricably linked. This briefing synthesizes their quantitative relationships to provide a unified framework for advanced risk management, enabling a strategic shift from static position-setting to dynamic, volatility-informed portfolio management. 2.0 The Gamma-Time Scaling Law: Balancing Divergence Loss and the Rebalancing Budget ⚖️ Understanding the relationship between risk acceleration (Gamma) and the effective lifespan of a position (Characteristic Time, τ) is of paramount strategic importance for any liquidity provider. This dynamic represents the fundamental trade-off between the capital efficiency gained from concentrating liquidity and the corresponding increase in risk exposure. Negative Gamma: The Source of Divergence Loss 📉 The mathematical origin of divergence loss, or impermanent loss, is the inherent Negative Gamma (Γ) of a Uniswap v3 position. As the second derivative of the position's value with respect to price, Gamma measures the rate of change of directional exposure (Delta). For a CLP, Gamma is defined as: Γ = −L / (2P√P) This formula reveals two critical properties: 1. Concavity 🔄 - The negative sign confirms that the LP's value function is concave. This forces the AMM to automatically trade against market momentum—selling the appreciating asset and buying the depreciating one—which is the mechanical source of divergence loss.
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The LP Risk Trifecta: A Synthesis of Gamma, Time, and Vega in Uniswap v3 🎯
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🎯 New Tool Drop: Polymarket Arbitrage Bot (Pure Alpha Strategy)
Just finished building something I think you'll find interesting - a fully automated arbitrage bot for Polymarket prediction markets. This isn't your typical degen play - it's a mathematically sound, market-neutral strategy that profits from pricing inefficiencies. 🧠 The Core Strategy The bot exploits a simple mathematical truth: in any binary market (YES/NO), the prices must sum to $1.00 because exactly one outcome will happen. When YES + NO < $1.00 = Risk-Free Profit Real example: BTC to hit $100K: YES @ $0.42, NO @ $0.55 Sum: $0.97 (you're paying 97¢ for a guaranteed $1.00) Buy 100 shares of each = $97 cost → $100 payout = $3 profit (3.1% return) But here's where it gets interesting... 🎲 The "Smart Overload" Edge Instead of just pure arbitrage, the bot runs an internal probability model using Black-Scholes math to detect which side is actually mispriced: If market says YES = 42% but model calculates 38% → YES is overpriced by 4% → Overweight the NO side (60/40 or 70/30 allocation) This turns simple arbitrage into positive expected value trades while maintaining downside protection. ⚡ What Makes This Different Speed Matters: Direct WebSocket feeds from Polymarket CLOB NumPy-optimized order book processing Private RPC endpoints (public ones are too slow) Can detect and execute arbs in <500ms Risk Controls Built In: Automatic kill switch on oracle delays Max 80% allocation to one side (always hedged) Daily loss limits (15% default) Per-trade position sizing via Kelly Criterion Handles orphaned positions automatically Production-Ready: EIP-712 order signing Batch execution (up to 15 orders/call) Redis caching for state management Rate limiting with token bucket algorithm Full paper trading mode 💰 Capital Requirements Minimum to run: 50+ MATIC for gas (~$20-30) Starting capital in USDC.e (recommend $500-1000) Private RPC endpoint (Alchemy/Infura - free tier works) Expected returns: Pure arb spreads: 1-5% per trade With overload: 3-15% per trade
🎯 New Tool Drop: Polymarket Arbitrage Bot (Pure Alpha Strategy)
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Welcome to DeFi U!
Hello everyone and welcome. As we begin building out DeFi University together, please know that any ideas you may have for a new tool, a new live call, a new course, anything that you'd like to build or incorporate in to add more value for us, the community members, that is 100% a yes here. This community is AI first, which simply means that we learn together how to use AI tools to build what will generate more value for us, the community members. We hope to foster an environment of learning and growth in many different areas of life within our DeFi University community, and now with these new AI tools any suggestion that any member has which will add value can quickly be built out and incorporated in. It's a very exciting and transformative time that we live in. To foster a sense of community spirit, please introduce yourself in the general chat as you join, and share a bit about yourself so that we can all get to know one another better. Live calls in the community take place every day Monday through Friday and they are open to all members. See you on the next live call and in the DeFi U chats! -David
NVDA and RAG !!
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Hype airdrop
https://x.com/albuchidg/status/2002781058203373765?s=46
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