Weekly Watchlist — March 16-21
4 setups this week — 2 swing longs, 1 commodity watch, and 1 short. Two came from community requests. Full execution packages below.
Post your trade plans in the comments — I'll review every one.
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IGV — Bullish Swing
IGV tapped into higher timeframe demand within accumulation — this is the zone where big buyers stepped in during the last major impulse. Think of it as the origin of that entire move higher. When price came back to test it, we got a rejection with heavy volume, which tells us those same institutional buyers are defending this area.
Since that rejection, price broke internal structure to the upside at 87.08. That's the shift — it tells us the demand held and buyers are in control of the short-term direction.
That breakout also created fresh demand below at 76.26-83.29. This is the new floor. If price retraces into this zone, it's a clean swing entry for anyone not already positioned.
Above current price, there's distribution and inefficient price movement — areas where price moved too fast and left unfinished business. Those gaps tend to get filled over time, which gives us our targets.
⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE
Entry Zone: 76.26-83.29 (new demand created by the internal BOS at 87.08)
Stop: Below 76.26 (demand zone invalidation — if buyers can't hold here, the thesis breaks)
T1: 96.00 — this level has acted as a key area on multiple occasions. Take partial profit, move stop to breakeven
T2: 101.90 — second area of inefficient price movement above
T3: 107+ — full exit or hold a small runner into the supply zone
Risk: 0.5% of account
Invalidation: Daily close below 76.26
📋 GAME PLAN
IF price retraces to 76.26-83.29 and holds → initiate swing long
IF price closes below 76.26 on the daily → thesis invalidated, no entry, no re-entry without new structure
IF T1 hit at 96 → take partial profit, move stop to breakeven
IF T2 hit at 101.90 → take another partial, trail your stop below the most recent higher low
IF price chops inside the demand zone without breaking down → patience. Let it resolve. The structure is still valid as long as 76.26 holds
💡 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS
The higher timeframe zone (75.96-72.79) held with volume — that's institutional defense. The internal BOS at 87.08 confirmed the shift. Fresh demand below gives us a clean re-entry with defined risk. Multiple targets above from inefficient price action give us asymmetric reward. This is the kind of setup the method was built for: clear structure, clear invalidation, clear targets.
I'm already positioned in this one. If I weren't, I'd be waiting for the retrace to new demand.
Conviction: 8/10 — Strong HTF structure held with volume, confirmed BOS, fresh demand with tight invalidation. Multiple targets above.
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DAL (Delta Air Lines) — Bullish Swing — Community Request 📩
This was a chart request from the community. Here's my read.
DAL has retraced into higher timeframe accumulation — driven largely by oil-related news pulling airlines lower. Now, retracing into accumulation doesn't automatically mean it's going to bounce. But WHERE it's retracing matters.
Price is sitting in the demand zone that was responsible for confirming accumulation the last time around. This is the zone at 55-57 — the area where buyers stepped in and pushed price higher during the prior cycle. Just look at what happened when price was here last time. It launched.
Now price has traded back into that same zone and volume is picking up. When I see increasing volume at a key demand zone, it gives me more confidence that buyers are responding — not guaranteed, but the odds shift in your favor.
⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE
Entry Zone: 55.00-57.00 (new demand within accumulation — the zone that confirmed the prior push higher)
Stop: Below 55.00 (demand invalidation)
T1: 65.00 — first area of overhead supply/resistance. Take partial, move stop to breakeven
T2: 68.00 — second target
T3: 69.00 — this is the full exit. Get rid of all remaining position here
Stretch Target: All-time highs — only if you want to hold a very small runner. I think this is risky and wouldn't recommend it for most
Risk: 0.5% of account — controlled sizing is important here given the macro headwinds
Invalidation: Daily close below 55.00
📋 GAME PLAN
IF price pulls back to 55-57 or opens around the current area → initiate long with controlled position sizing
IF price closes below 55.00 → accumulation thesis breaks, exit completely
IF T1 hit at 65 → take partial profit, move stop to breakeven
IF T2 hit at 68 → take more off the table
IF price reaches 69 → exit everything. Don't get greedy here
IF you want to hold for ATHs → keep only a tiny runner and understand you're taking on risk
💡 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS
The demand at 55-57 isn't random support — it's the zone that confirmed the entire accumulation cycle. When price returns to the origin of a major move and volume picks up, that's a signal worth watching. Oil-driven selloffs create fear, but structure is what we trade.
I'm not personally trading this one — already exposed to other names and don't want to overextend. But if you've got room in your portfolio and this fits your risk tolerance, the structure is clean.
Conviction: 6/10 — Clean demand zone with volume confirmation, but oil-driven macro headwinds add uncertainty. Use controlled sizing.
Charts: Daily
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XAU/USD (Gold) — Bullish Watch — Community Request 📩
Another community request. I don't personally trade gold, but I'll share the structural read.
Higher timeframe accumulation sits between 4842-4960. Price is near this zone. The key word is "near" — we're not in the zone yet, and being near isn't the same as being in it.
If price retraces INTO the demand zone and starts showing lower timeframe confirmation of accumulation — meaning you see buyers stepping in on the 1H or 4H with structure shifts — that could be a long opportunity.
What I also want to point out: price has already sold off significantly. At this point, I don't see an objective advantage in being short. There's no quality supply overhead that I can identify. That doesn't mean go long blindly — it means the short side doesn't offer a clean setup either.
⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE
Watch Zone: 4842-4960 (HTF accumulation)
Entry: ONLY on lower timeframe confirmation inside the zone (look for accumulation on 1H/4H — internal BOS, demand holding, volume response)
Stop: Below 4842 (full zone invalidation)
Targets: TBD — will depend on what lower timeframe structure develops inside the zone
Risk: 0.5% of account if you take the trade
Invalidation: Acceptance below 4842 (not just a wick — a close below)
📋 GAME PLAN
IF price retraces to 4842-4960 AND shows LTF accumulation (internal BOS on 1H/4H) → potential long entry
IF price blows straight through 4842 with momentum and no reaction → thesis is dead, stay completely out
IF price bounces before reaching the zone → no trade. Don't chase. Wait for the zone
💡 CONTEXT
This is a watch, not an active trade recommendation. The structure is there on the higher timeframe, but gold isn't my instrument and the setup isn't ready until LTF confirms inside the zone. Sharing the read because it was requested — use your own judgment on timing and sizing.
Conviction: 5/10 — HTF structure is identifiable, but needs LTF confirmation before it's actionable. Not my market, sharing the framework read only.
Charts: 1H
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TSLA — Bearish Swing 🐻
TSLA created supply at 412-420 — this is where sellers stepped in aggressively and caused a break of structure to the downside. That BOS is the signal. When supply creates a structural break, it tells us sellers were dominant at that price.
Here's where it gets interesting: price retraced right back into that very supply zone and is starting to sell off again. That's the method in action — supply creates the break, price comes back to test, and if sellers are still there, it rejects. That's what we're seeing.
Below current price, there's a large price imbalance between 367-382. Price moved so fast through this area that it left unfinished business — and imbalances like this tend to get filled over time. That's our target zone.
⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE
Entry Zone: ~400 area (retrace back toward supply — NOT a blind entry. Requires lower timeframe bearish confirmation)
Stop: Above 420 (supply zone invalidation — if price closes above supply, sellers lost control)
T1: 382 — top of the price imbalance. Take partial, move stop to breakeven
T2: 367 — full imbalance fill. Exit remaining position
Risk: 0.5% of account
Invalidation: Daily close above 420
CRITICAL: This requires lower timeframe confirmation. Don't short blindly at 400 — wait for LTF BOS or rejection pattern
📋 GAME PLAN
IF price retrades to ~400 AND shows LTF bearish confirmation (rejection, BOS on 15m/1H) → initiate short
IF price closes above 420 on the daily → supply zone failed, thesis is completely invalidated, no short
IF T1 hit at 382 → take partial profit, move stop to breakeven (above entry)
IF price fills the full imbalance to 367 → exit remaining position
IF price sells off from current levels without retracing to 400 → missed entry. Don't chase the move down
💡 WHY THIS SHORT MAKES SENSE
The supply at 412-420 proved itself — it caused a BOS. Price retesting a proven supply zone is one of the cleanest short setups in the method. The imbalance below at 367-382 gives us a clear target. The risk is defined (above 420). This is structure-driven, not a guess.
Conviction: 7/10 — Confirmed supply with BOS, active selling pressure on retest, clear imbalance target below. Needs retrace to ~400 for optimal risk/reward.
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POST YOUR PLANS BELOW — which setups are you taking? Entry, stop, targets, sizing. I'll review every plan that comes in.
New to the Desk? Pick ONE setup, map your plan, and post it. I'll give you direct feedback. That's how this works — you execute, I support.
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Weekly Watchlist — March 16-21
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