13d • 📅 Weekly Watchlist
ES – Short – Day/Swing
HTF CONTEXT:
ES has clearly broken the 6530.12–6599.39 HTF demand — the level that needed to hold to maintain bullish structure. With that break, the prior uptrend is invalidated unless new, strong demand forms and reclaims lower supply. For now, structure favors the downside.
KEY LEVELS & ZONES:
- HTF Supply 1: 6709.22–6776.23
- HTF Supply 2: 6836.25–6875.27
- Broken Demand: 6530.12–6599.39 (now acting as resistance)
- Downside targets: to be refined after LTF structure forms
GAME PLAN:
- Bias stays bearish as long as price remains below 6599.39.
- Look for shorts only at HTF supply or after clean LTF confirmation.
- LTF confirmation: Sweep of intraday liquidity into HTF supply Impulsive BOS downward + new LTF supply creation
- Entry: Limit order at mitigation of the new LTF supply.
- Stop: Above the LTF invalidation or above the HTF supply extremes for a conservative stop.
- Targets: First liquidity pockets below recent lows Trend continuation only if HTF momentum remains clean
- No-Trade Rule: If ES reclaims and holds above 6599.39, this removes the bearish edge — stand aside for longs until new demand forms and breaks lower supply.
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ES – Short – Day/Swing
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