DUOL — Bearish — Swing
⚡ EXECUTION PACKAGE
- Entry Zone: 110.00-112.00 (IF lower high forms below this demand)
- Stop Loss: 114.50
- Target 1: 105.00 — Take 50% profit, move stop to breakeven
- Target 2: 100.00 — Manage remainder or full exit
- Risk Sizing: $50-$100 per setup
- Invalidation: Acceptance above 114.50 (daily close above)
📋 GAME PLAN SCENARIO A - DISTRIBUTION WITHOUT REACHING SUPPLY: IF price forms lower high below 110 + breaks prior low → THEN enter short in 110-112 zone IF entry fills → THEN hold until stop or target hit IF stop hit at 114.50 → THEN exit completely, no re-entry without new plan IF T1 reached at 105 → THEN take 50% profit, move stop to 111 (breakeven) IF T2 reached at 100 → THEN take remaining 50% or hold for continuation
SCENARIO B - PRICE RUNS TO HTF SUPPLY FIRST: IF price reaches 319-325 supply zone → THEN wait for new plan (potential short from supply) IF price holds above 110 demand → THEN thesis invalid, wait for new structure
KILL SWITCH: IF price accepts above 114.50 → THEN distribution thesis broken, exit if positioned
💡 SETUP CONTEXT Structure: HTF supply sits at 319-325, but price may distribute before reaching it Edge: If current demand at 110 fails (lower highs + lower lows), confirms distribution Why This Works: Early distribution signal = better R/R than waiting for supply test Conviction: 5/10 — Requires confirmation via lower high formation, not a "short now" setup
⚠️ CRITICAL NOTE: This is structure from last week's analysis. The key is watching HOW price behaves at 110.
Do NOT short blindly. Entry only valid if:
- Price forms a lower high below 110 demand
- Price breaks the prior swing low
- Lower high + lower low = distribution confirmation
If price reclaims 110 and pushes higher, wait for the HTF supply at 319-325 instead.
0
0 comments
DUOL — Bearish — Swing
powered by
skool.com/the-trading-desk-2388
Swing trade U.S. stocks & crypto around your 9–5 in ~10 minutes a night with a rules-based no-chase method so you stop staring at charts.
Suggested communities
Powered by