PIN THIS UP. 2014: From failed rally to 1st bottom 65% From failed rally to real bottom 82% 2018: From failed rally to 1st bottom 66% From failed rally to real bottom 82% 2022: From failed rally to 1st bottom 63% From failed rally to real bottom 68% 2026: 63% - 37k 68% - 30k 82% - 18k (highly unlikely imo but you never know) This is pure historical data, does it have to wor 100%? We don't know. Don't trust me. Go and draw the levels out yourself. But you will be foolish not to factor it into your consideration. Can we bounce from 60k? What happens if we bounced hard to 97k and take it off? What if we dump right through? What is a good probable time to see real bottom? This is probably the thing you need to know this bear market. Don't overthink it.

I am goint to buy more bitcoin between 65000 to 60000. Stay tuned.

I am expecting the bitcoin to go until 77'000$ before falling again (until 38'000$?) I won't keep the position I bought for a long time. I didn't bought as much I wanted unfornutanetely. French: Bitcoin devrait aller jusqu'à 77'000$ avant de chuter à nouveau (jusqu'à 38'000$?). La position que j'ai acheté, je ne vais pas le garder longtemps. Je n'ai pas pu acheter autant que je voulais malheureusement.

I bought around 1000chf of bitcoin around 50’650 chf ( its like 64’750$) on active portfolio and the passive one.

Cash Is King right now. We continue to dump. This is exactly why cash > conviction in this phase. I know what you’re seeing on Twitter. Everyone is suddenly a genius pointing to the 200-week MA around ~58k and calling “the bottom”. Scroll left. In 2022, BTC dumped below the 200-week MA, then chopped and consolidated there for months. It was not a V-shaped recovery. Same rule applies now. Catching a falling knife feels smart Until it keeps falling. If you want to bid the 200-week MA (~58k) – Fine – But even on spot, use a stop loss – No ego trades If you want to accumulate from 58k down – Make sure you still have dry powder – Plan for scenarios as deep as 30k – If you run out of ammo early, you lose optionality I don’t plan to repeat that lesson. Survive first. Profit comes later.