Morgan Stanley launching their etf today. Arguably the Biggest launch and with the most competitive fees yet. They will surely be pushing this product to clients

I am planning to sell my bitcoin if 80’000$ are reached, in the active and passive portfolio.

**Scenario 1 - Immediate Expansion** If BTC holds above 73.5k and continues building momentum, the breakout becomes confirmed. In this scenario the market continues expanding toward the next liquidity cluster at 80k. **Scenario 2 - Breakout Retest** Price breaks resistance. Then returns to retest the breakout level. If 73.5k holds during the retest, the breakout becomes stronger. Because resistance has officially flipped into support. **Scenario 3 - Breakout Failed** If breakout fails and we return back to the range, its a swing failure pattern and its bearish as we revisit the range low again.

Grey top = historic peaks. Red = overbought. Blue = fair value. Green = oversold. Lower grey = historic bottoms. Look at history: 2018 peak, tagged upper bands. 2021 peak, tagged upper bands. Major bottoms, tagged lower grey.

PIN THIS UP. 2014: From failed rally to 1st bottom 65% From failed rally to real bottom 82% 2018: From failed rally to 1st bottom 66% From failed rally to real bottom 82% 2022: From failed rally to 1st bottom 63% From failed rally to real bottom 68% 2026: 63% - 37k 68% - 30k 82% - 18k (highly unlikely imo but you never know) This is pure historical data, does it have to wor 100%? We don't know. Don't trust me. Go and draw the levels out yourself. But you will be foolish not to factor it into your consideration. Can we bounce from 60k? What happens if we bounced hard to 97k and take it off? What if we dump right through? What is a good probable time to see real bottom? This is probably the thing you need to know this bear market. Don't overthink it.