Today's newsletter is out: https://swiss-islamic-finance.beehiiv.com/p/why-altseason-has-not-started-yet-part-2-of-4

Now this chart hasnt been strong which is a good thing in short term. Bull case for btc.d (alts struggle) btc.d still respecting the rising trendline. higher lows intact. Price holding around 59–60%. this tells me btc is still absorbing risk better than alts. RSI holding above mid range. no clear breakdown yet. if btc.d continues grinding up towards 62–63%, alts stay suppressed. capital hides in btc. rotations stay slow and selective. This is dominance via defence, not aggression. Bear case for btc.d (alts get relief) momentum isn’t strong. moves up are shallow and choppy. Sto rsi cycling heavily without expansion. this often happens near exhaustion, not acceleration. if btc.d loses the trendline and fails to hold 59%, next real downside opens towards mid 55% that would signal capital rotating out of btc dominance. alts breathe again. not altseason, but relief. bottom line is, btc.d is still in control, but not convincingly strong. as long as it holds the trendline, alts remain capped. a clean break below 59% is the first real signal that the balance is shifting. until then, patience.

Salam and Welcome to the new members ! @Bilaal Shaikh @Abdelraouf Mahmoud And @Arshaad Moosa Feel free to present yourself (pinned message in the feed) and to ask any questions you may have.

At the moment, this is not the right environment for buy & hold, as markets are at all-time highs (ATH). A major reversal should therefore be expected in the coming period. The preferred approach is to focus on precision, with well-placed stop losses, where everything comes down to risk management and active position management: taking profits while continuously protecting capital. Buy & hold and large-scale investing will only be considered once the market has corrected significantly and the VIX has posted a clear spike. French: À l’heure actuelle, ce n’est pas le bon moment pour du buy & hold, les marchés étant à leurs plus hauts historiques (ATH). Un retournement significatif est donc probable à moyen terme. L’approche privilégiée consiste à rechercher la précision, avec des stops bien placés, où tout se jouera sur le risk management et la gestion active des positions : prises de bénéfices progressives et protection systématique du capital. Le buy & hold et les investissements massifs seront envisagés uniquement lorsque le marché aura corrigé fortement et que le VIX aura marqué un pic.