Don’t rule out a surprise, preemptive Iranian attack on Israel, warns former IDF military intelligence chief

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Former IDF military intelligence chief Amos Yadlin says that while “Western logic” would suggest Iran will not try to preempt a possible American attack and initiate war with the US and Israel, “jihadi logic, extremist religious logic” could be different, and that the IDF should be thoroughly prepared “as though there is going to be a surprise.”

He says he hopes that the IDF has an operational model in place, predicated on the idea “that the Iranians may do something that does not seem logical.”

Speaking on Channel 12, Yadlin also notes that in recent regional conflicts, those who struck first have enjoyed a strong strategic advantage. And he highlights that the Iranian regime is seeking revenge against Israel for last June’s war.

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Yadlin, who now heads the non-profit MIND Israel, a national security consultancy, says the IDF is working very closely with the US military in sharing the lessons it learned in past rounds of conflict with Iran, especially last year’s war.

The IDF took out more than 200 Iranian missile launchers, a success of profound interest to the Americans, he says. It also established air supremacy over Tehran, though this may be less critical for the US, given its potential use of Tomahawk missiles. He says Israel and the US will need to determine effective deconfliction mechanisms in the event of war. And he stresses the importance of mutual trust and confidence between Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, and IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir.

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