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🪨 Venture / Small-Cap Resource Names - Weekly Recap
Sorry folks I had to travel to Texas last Friday to Tuesday and haven't really been at my desk but a lot has happened in the market since then! Here are some of my plays from the increasing interest in commodities and the intensification of uncertainty in regard to the dollar. Why I added these names to my international account I’ve been building out my international sleeve, and these adds weren’t random. They’re all tied to the same broader thesis: late-cycle markets reward selectivity and real-asset exposure, not blanket index buying. 🪨 Venture / Small-Cap Resource Names EMN, FSY, WUC, LCE, NMI, LUCA, SPMC, MM8, AAU These are high-beta, asymmetric positions outside the crowded U.S. trade. Why I like them: - Leverage to commodities and real assets - Jurisdictions that are underfollowed compared to U.S. markets - Valuations that haven’t fully repriced yet - Optionality if the next leg of the resource cycle plays out Position sizing reflects the risk here — this is optionality, not core capital. 🌍 Why hold these internationally I want this sleeve to: - Be less correlated to U.S. indices - Benefit from regional divergence - Capture upside where capital hasn’t fully rotated yet This isn’t about swinging for the fences — it’s about owning the right kind of risk at this stage of the cycle. Bottom line This basket is: - Selective - Asymmetric - Built with patience Some names will go nowhere.A few won’t work.I don’t need many winners for this sleeve to matter. If anyone wants a breakdown on a specific name, happy to go deeper 👇
IMSR — Watching This as a High-Conviction Nuclear Optionality Play
With uranium and nuclear breaking out again, I’m starting to pay close attention to IMSR as a next-wave beneficiary rather than a crowded trade. Well it's already been on my radar, we booked a 127% return already here. This isn’t about chasing spot uranium. This is about who wins if nuclear actually scales. Why nuclear momentum matters right now We’re seeing: - Governments reversing decades of anti-nuclear policy - AI + data centers driving base-load power demand - Grid instability exposing renewables’ limits without nuclear backup This isn’t a trade — it’s a regime shift. And when regimes shift, technology leaders get repriced violently. Why IMSR stands out IMSR isn’t trying to build old-school reactors better.They’re building molten salt reactors, which solve the actual problems of nuclear. Here’s why their salt tech matters: 1. Inherent safety Molten salt reactors operate at low pressure, meaning: - No pressure-driven meltdowns - Passive safety systems - Failure modes are containment, not catastrophe This alone makes regulatory approval far more realistic long-term. 2. Fuel efficiency & waste Their reactors: - Extract more energy from fuel - Produce less long-lived waste - Can potentially consume existing nuclear waste as fuel That’s a political and economic win. 3. Scalability Salt reactors are: - Smaller - Modular - Faster to deploy That matters in a world that needs power now, not in 20 years. Why this is attractive for options, not just shares IMSR checks the classic explosive options setup boxes: - Small-ish market cap relative to the theme - Tied to a hot macro narrative - Binary news flow (regulatory, partnerships, funding) - Volatility expansion when sentiment flips This isn’t something that moves 3% a week.It’s something that sleeps… then gaps. You don’t need perfection — you need attention + momentum. The real trade idea This isn’t about predicting revenue tomorrow. It’s about: - Nuclear staying bid - Capital rotating downstream into tech enablers - IMSR getting re-rated as a serious solution, not a science project
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IMSR — Watching This as a High-Conviction Nuclear Optionality Play
LIT Bull Case 💰 | Cycle Bottom + Convex Upside
**Higher Risk with options only trade what you are willing to lose** **Make this play with stock for safer gain/ less potential losses** Ticker: LIT (Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF)Position: Apr 17 $80 Calls (94 DTE)Thesis: Early cycle bottom with potential continuation, expressed through a small, defined-risk lotto. Big Picture LIT appears to be emerging from a multi-month cycle low after lithium and battery names were fully washed out. Sentiment reset, weak hands gone, volatility compressed — conditions that typically precede new cycles rather than mark the end of them. This is no longer a crowded trade. Why this looks like a cycle bottom - Extended base and consolidation after a prolonged downtrend - Higher low structure beginning to form - Significant relative underperformance vs SPY, creating mean-reversion potential - Lithium moved from hype → hated → ignored (classic bottoming behavior) Technical continuation case - Price reclaiming and holding VWAP (~70.50) - Volume expanding relative to recent averages - Momentum starting to improve (RSI curl, MACD stabilization) - Pullbacks are controlled, not impulsive If this were just a dead-cat bounce, price would already be rejected. Instead, it’s accepting higher levels. Why calls instead of shares (lotto logic) Shares express: “I think LIT goes up over time.” These calls express: “If LIT moves fast and early, the payoff is asymmetric.” This is a timing + acceleration trade, not a patience trade. - Defined risk (premium paid) - High convexity if momentum expands - No need to sit through chop or manage drawdowns What needs to happen - Continuation through 72–74 resistance - Momentum expansion (not sideways consolidation) - Volatility expansion as trend strengthens - Sector rotation into beaten-down growth / materials A move toward 78–80 does not need to be permanent — it just needs to happen within the next 4–8 weeks. Trim + Runner Plan - Trim 30–50% of position into strength near 72–74 - Second trim if price accelerates toward 76–78 - Leave runners for a potential push into 80+ - If momentum stalls after trims, remaining position is house money
LIT Bull Case 💰 | Cycle Bottom + Convex Upside
$HIMS PUT Lotto Thesis (High Risk / Small Size)
First and most important: this is a SMALL, high-risk lotto position for me.Options can go to zero — especially short-dated lottos — so only risk what you’re fully comfortable losing. 🔍 The Bearish Setup (Why Puts) - Monthly chart extended into the top of the channelHIMS recently pushed into the upper range of its long-term rising channel and failed to hold highs. That’s often where upside momentum stalls and mean reversion starts. - Loss of momentum after distributionOn lower timeframes, price rolled over after a strong run, showing: - Breakdown from short-term trendOn the 4H chart, price is trading below the rising structure, below key moving averages, and struggling to reclaim value. - Volume + structure favor downside continuationVolume profile shows heavy supply overhead, while price is currently sitting below value, suggesting rallies may get sold. - Momentum indicators rolling overRSI has failed to reclaim strength and is drifting lower — not oversold yet, meaning room for continuation. 🎯 Why PUTS (and Why Small) - These are lotto puts, not a long-term bearish bet - Looking for continuation or acceleration to the downside - If price flushes into lower demand quickly, delta + gamma can expand fast - If price chops or reclaims structure, these likely decay quickly This is not a trade where I expect to be right every time.The goal is asymmetric payoff, not accuracy. ⚠️ Risk Management (Read This) - This is a leveraged instrument - Time decay works against us - I expect some lottos to go to zero - Position size reflects that reality Only risk what you’re comfortable losing. One strong move can cover multiple small losses — that’s the edge we’re playing.
$HIMS PUT Lotto Thesis (High Risk / Small Size)
📈 *Never stopped* removing buystop* BULL – Breakout Setup (Momentum / Squeeze Play) (Buy Stop at $8.70)
BULL has been coiling for days inside a tight range after a long downtrend, and the structure is finally tightening enough to matter. What I’m watching: - Price is compressing under descending resistance on both the 1H and 4H - Volume has dried up → classic volatility compression - RSI is holding mid-range (not overbought), leaving room for expansion - Value + volume nodes are stacked right above current price, meaning if it breaks, it can move fast This is a pure odds-based momentum setup, not a prediction. 🎯 Buy Stop Plan (important) I’m not buying in the middle of the range. 👉 Preferred buy stop: At $8.70 or higher and stop loss at $8.00 if executed That level clears: - Descending trendline resistance - Local range high - Confirms buyers are actually stepping in If price cannot reclaim and hold above this zone, I’m not interested. 🚀 Upside Scenario If BULL breaks and holds: - Initial momentum target: 9.50 - Squeeze continuation target: 10.50–11.00 Above 8.6, odds shift from chop → trend expansion. ⚠️ Risk Notes - This is a high-volatility name - False breakouts are common - Use buy stops, not market buys - Size appropriately — this is momentum, not conviction If it breaks → we rideIf it fails → we stay flat No need to be early. Let price confirm.
📈 *Never stopped* removing buystop* BULL – Breakout Setup (Momentum / Squeeze Play) (Buy Stop at $8.70)
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