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🪨 Venture / Small-Cap Resource Names - Weekly Recap
Sorry folks I had to travel to Texas last Friday to Tuesday and haven't really been at my desk but a lot has happened in the market since then! Here are some of my plays from the increasing interest in commodities and the intensification of uncertainty in regard to the dollar. Why I added these names to my international account I’ve been building out my international sleeve, and these adds weren’t random. They’re all tied to the same broader thesis: late-cycle markets reward selectivity and real-asset exposure, not blanket index buying. 🪨 Venture / Small-Cap Resource Names EMN, FSY, WUC, LCE, NMI, LUCA, SPMC, MM8, AAU These are high-beta, asymmetric positions outside the crowded U.S. trade. Why I like them: - Leverage to commodities and real assets - Jurisdictions that are underfollowed compared to U.S. markets - Valuations that haven’t fully repriced yet - Optionality if the next leg of the resource cycle plays out Position sizing reflects the risk here — this is optionality, not core capital. 🌍 Why hold these internationally I want this sleeve to: - Be less correlated to U.S. indices - Benefit from regional divergence - Capture upside where capital hasn’t fully rotated yet This isn’t about swinging for the fences — it’s about owning the right kind of risk at this stage of the cycle. Bottom line This basket is: - Selective - Asymmetric - Built with patience Some names will go nowhere.A few won’t work.I don’t need many winners for this sleeve to matter. If anyone wants a breakdown on a specific name, happy to go deeper 👇
📈 *Never stopped* removing buystop* BULL – Breakout Setup (Momentum / Squeeze Play) (Buy Stop at $8.70)
BULL has been coiling for days inside a tight range after a long downtrend, and the structure is finally tightening enough to matter. What I’m watching: - Price is compressing under descending resistance on both the 1H and 4H - Volume has dried up → classic volatility compression - RSI is holding mid-range (not overbought), leaving room for expansion - Value + volume nodes are stacked right above current price, meaning if it breaks, it can move fast This is a pure odds-based momentum setup, not a prediction. 🎯 Buy Stop Plan (important) I’m not buying in the middle of the range. 👉 Preferred buy stop: At $8.70 or higher and stop loss at $8.00 if executed That level clears: - Descending trendline resistance - Local range high - Confirms buyers are actually stepping in If price cannot reclaim and hold above this zone, I’m not interested. 🚀 Upside Scenario If BULL breaks and holds: - Initial momentum target: 9.50 - Squeeze continuation target: 10.50–11.00 Above 8.6, odds shift from chop → trend expansion. ⚠️ Risk Notes - This is a high-volatility name - False breakouts are common - Use buy stops, not market buys - Size appropriately — this is momentum, not conviction If it breaks → we rideIf it fails → we stay flat No need to be early. Let price confirm.
📈 *Never stopped* removing buystop* BULL – Breakout Setup (Momentum / Squeeze Play) (Buy Stop at $8.70)
$MOS Entry $27.94
$MOS entry: • Cycle bottom confirmed• Volatility compression → breakout• Critical ag mineral at attractive valuation Let’s see if the market agrees. Stop loss at $23.08
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$MOS Entry $27.94
XOM Entry
Live Trade Log – $XOM Context: Energy holding relative strength while market consolidates. Volatility compressed on 4H. Trade: Long XOMEntry: 126.27 (taken earlier today) Timeframe: SwingRisk: 0.5% account risk ⚠️ Entry already executed. Price may be extended. Oil is a cycle bottom breaking out with lots of potential value. Short term Invalidation: Loss of 124.90 (break of structure + EMA support) Long term Invalidation: Stop Loss set at $114 under December lows. Plan: Looking for continuation toward prior highs. Will trail stop if structure holds. No add unless pullback forms. 🛑 Not a signal. This is a trade journal update, not a call to enter.
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