Thanksgiving Week - High Volatility Expected π
November 23-29, 2025
π’ Thanksgiving Week Best Seasonality
TG Wednesday has best return since 1997. Second-best seasonal edge of the year
π΄ VIX Up 4 Weeks in a Row
VIX has done this 34 times since 1990. 10 times VIX closed higher the next week, giving
70% edge
π΄ Trump Considering Selling Nvidia H200 Chips to China
Major shift in export controls and trade relations if approved
π’ Job Market Pessimism Highest Since 1980s
76% of US consumers expect unemployment over next 12 months - extreme negative
sentiment
π΄ Bitcoin Drops from $126k to $89k
25% crash as AI startups hold $25.8B in Bitcoin as collateral, forcing $23B in Bitcoin sales
π‘ No Fed Speakers This Week
No FOMC meetings, no Fed speakers - cleaner tape without Powell commentary
π’ Mean Reversion Setup After Thursday Reversal
Thursday's 3.5% intraday reversal caught everyone off-guard. AVG return 3 weeks out =
+13%
π‘ 27 Leveraged 3x & 5x Single Stock ETFs Filed
AMD, AMZN, COIN, GOOGL, MSFT, NVDA, PLTR, TSLA and more - volatility explosion
coming
π‘ U.S. Watching Venezuela, Attempting to Overthrow Government
New phase of operations targeting Venezuela. Timing and scope unclear; rising tensions
with President Nicolas Maduro's government