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🎯 6 Live Call Trade Setups: The Exact Entries, Targets & Stops From Monday's War Room
The best traders don't trade alone. They trade with a team. Every Monday at 7:30 AM EST, the DCG Mastermind live call goes down. This isn't some recorded webinar you watch later. This is LIVE market analysis, real-time trade alerts, and active position management. Here's what dropped in Monday's session—6 complete trade setups with exact entries, targets, stops, and conviction ratings. If you weren't in the room, you missed the alpha. But you can catch up now. TRADE #1: $CSCO (Cisco) — AI Infrastructure Play 🤖 Entry: $78Target: $84Stop: $76Risk/Reward: 2.5:1Conviction: 8.5/10 Options: $80 Calls (January expiration) — SWING TRADE Thesis:Cisco is positioned perfectly for AI infrastructure demand. Their Splunk acquisition is creating synergies that Wall Street is underestimating. Hold above $78, and this thing runs to $84+. Why it works: Networking infrastructure is the backbone of AI data centers. As companies scale AI, they need Cisco's equipment. TRADE #2: $SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) — Broad Semi Exposure 💻 Entry: $365Target: $380Stop: $358Risk/Reward: 2:1Conviction: 8.7/10 Options: $365 Calls (Dec 19 expiration) Thesis:Can't afford AVGO or NVDA? SMH gives you diversified semiconductor exposure at a fraction of the cost. With NVIDIA's China approval lighting up the sector, SMH is the easy button for semiconductor bulls. Why it works: When semiconductors run, the ETF runs. Lower volatility, easier to manage, still captures the upside. TRADE #3: $ROKU (Roku) — Streaming M&A Theme 📺 Entry: $100Target: $115Stop: $95Risk/Reward: 3:1Conviction: 7.8/10 Options: $100 Calls — SWING TRADE Thesis:The Paramount vs. Netflix bidding war for Warner Bros Discovery has the entire streaming sector buzzing. ROKU benefits from increased streaming activity and potential M&A sympathy. $100 is technical support—hold it and run to $115. Why it works: M&A activity creates sector volatility. Volatility = opportunity for swing traders. TRADE #4: $MBTS (China Semiconductor) — Squeeze Candidate 🇨🇳
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📉 The 95% Conviction SHORT: Why Smart Money Is Betting Against This $27 Stock
Not every trade is a long. Sometimes the best opportunities are on the downside. During Monday's DCG Mastermind live call, Jamar dropped a 95% conviction SHORT setup that has the entire trading room paying attention. The ticker? $KD (Kyndryl Holdings) And the thesis is brutally simple: this company is fundamentally broken. The Bear Case (Why This Stock Is Heading Lower) Current Price: ~$27Target: $25Entry: Below $27Conviction: 95% Here's what makes this such a high-probability short: 1. Poor Free Cash FlowCompanies that can't generate cash are companies that can't survive. KD's free cash flow metrics are deteriorating, which means they're burning through capital faster than they're making it. 2. Fundamental WeaknessThis isn't a temporary dip. The underlying business model is struggling. Revenue is declining, margins are compressing, and there's no clear catalyst for a turnaround. 3. Declining SalesWhen sales go down quarter after quarter, that's not a "rough patch"—that's a trend. And trends don't reverse without major structural changes (which KD hasn't announced). 4. IT Services Sector Under PressureThe entire IT services space is getting disrupted by AI automation. Companies like KD that rely on legacy service models are getting squeezed from multiple directions. The Options Play Recommended Strategy: $27 PutsTimeframe: Give it room to work (30-45 days out) This gives you: - Defined risk (premium paid) - Leverage on the downside move - No overnight "blow up" risk vs. shorting stock Why 95% Conviction? Jamar doesn't throw around 95% conviction ratings on SHORT trades often. Why? Because shorting is inherently riskier than going long (unlimited upside risk). But when the fundamentals are THIS clear, and the technical setup confirms weakness, you have to take the shot. Think about it: - Poor cash flow = eventual bankruptcy risk - Declining sales = no growth story - Sector headwinds = no rotation support - Technical breakdown = momentum selling
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🐮 The "Cash Cow" Trade: How Broadcom Could Hand You 11% Returns Before Christmas
One ticker. One earnings catalyst. 9.2/10 conviction. Inside this morning's DCG Mastermind live call, Jamar dropped what he's calling the "Cash Cow Trade" of the week—and it's not some speculative penny stock or hope-and-a-prayer play. It's $AVGO (Broadcom), and the setup is absolutely pristine. The Numbers That Matter Entry Zone: $397-402 Target: $440+ Stop Loss: $385 Risk/Reward: 3:1 Conviction: 9.2 out of 10 That's an 11% upside with a clearly defined 4% downside. For those keeping score, that's the kind of asymmetric bet that separates amateur traders from professionals. Why Broadcom? Why Now? Here's what most traders are missing: 1. Earnings Catalyst This WeekBroadcom reports earnings THIS WEEK, and historically they beat expectations the majority of the time. The street knows this—but retail is still sleeping. 2. Institutional Whale PositioningRemember that $152 MILLION position we talked about? Someone with serious capital rolled into January $360 ITM calls. That's not speculation. That's institutional conviction. 3. UBS Price Target: $472Wall Street analysts have a $472 price target on AVGO. From current levels ($397-402 entry), that's nearly 19% upside potential if they're even close to accurate. 4. AI Infrastructure PlayBroadcom designs custom AI chips for hyperscalers like Meta and Google. With NVIDIA's H200 China approval lighting up the semiconductor sector, ALL AI infrastructure names get a tailwind. The Options Play Recommended Strike: $400 Calls Timeframe: Through earnings (this week) This gives you: - Exposure to the earnings beat - Room for the stock to run post-announcement - Defined risk if thesis breaks Why This Is A "Cash Cow" Jamar doesn't throw around 9.2/10 conviction ratings lightly. This is one of his highest-rated setups of the entire month. The term "Cash Cow" means: ✅ High probability setup (earnings history backs it up) ✅ Clear risk/reward (3:1 is institutional-grade) ✅ Defined catalyst (earnings = volatility = opportunity)
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💰 The $108 Billion Bidding War That Could Hand You 17% Returns (Even In This Market)
While everyone's obsessing over NVIDIA, a massive M&A arbitrage opportunity just opened up in media. Paramount just launched a hostile $30/share all-cash bid for Warner Bros Discovery (WBD), directly challenging Netflix's existing $27.75 offer. And the market is mispricing this opportunity. Here's The Trade Setup WBD Current Price: $25.61 Netflix Offer: $27.75 per share (8.4% upside) Paramount Offer: $30.00 per share (17.1% upside) Translation: You can buy WBD right now and potentially lock in anywhere from 8-17% returns depending on which bid wins. Why The Spread Exists (Your Edge) The market is pricing in Trump regulatory risk. And they're not wrong to be cautious. President Trump literally said this deal "could be a problem" and confirmed he'll be personally involved in the approval decision. That regulatory overhang is why WBD trades BELOW both offer prices. But here's what creates the opportunity: WBD's board has a fiduciary duty to shareholders. They MUST consider the superior bid. Even if Netflix prevails, shareholder pressure could force them to raise their offer. The Math On This Trade Conservative Scenario (Netflix wins): +8.4% return Aggressive Scenario (Paramount wins): +17.1% return Risk Scenario (Deal blocks): Stock craters to $18-22 fundamentals Suggested Entry: $25.50-26.50 Stop Loss: $23.00 (protect downside) Timeframe: 3-6 months (event-driven) What's Driving This Drama Paramount CEO David Ellison is coming in HOT. He's offering $17.6 BILLION more than Netflix's deal. That's not a slight bump—that's a statement. Meanwhile, Netflix is getting absolutely hammered: - Down -4.3% on the hostile bid news - Multiple analyst downgrades (Rosenblatt: $152 → $105 price target) - 3 consecutive red days - Trading below 50 & 200-day moving averages The Smart Way To Play This This isn't a "set it and forget it" trade. You need to actively manage this position because: 1. Trump's comments can move the stock 10%+ instantly 2. Regulatory approval timelines are unpredictable 3. Either company could walk away if financing falls through
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🚀 NVIDIA Just Got The Green Light To Print Money: The $10B China Catalyst Nobody Saw Coming
The AI sector just received its biggest catalyst since the correction began. Late Sunday night, the U.S. Commerce Department approved NVIDIA's H200 GPU exports to China. The market's reaction? An immediate +2.2% after-hours surge that has traders scrambling to reposition for Monday's open. Why This Changes Everything? Here's what most people are missing: these aren't cutting-edge chips. The H200s are 18 months behind NVIDIA's latest technology. So why does this matter? Because NVIDIA just unlocked a $10+ BILLION revenue opportunity while STILL maintaining their competitive moat against Chinese competitors. It's the perfect regulatory win-win. The Technical Setup Is Picture Perfect Current Price: $186.42 (after-hours) Entry Zone: $183-186Target 1: $192 (+3-5%) Target 2: $199 (+7-9%) Stop Loss: $179 (risk management is key) Why Smart Money Is Piling In? Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is backing this move. SoftBank + NVIDIA just co-invested $1B+ into Skild AI at a $14B valuation. The entire AI infrastructure thesis is getting validated in real-time. But here's the kicker: Fear & Greed Index sits at just 39/100. When everyone else is scared, that's when the real opportunities appear. The Bigger Picture This isn't just about NVIDIA. The entire semiconductor sector gets a lift: - AMD - China chip exposure (though watch for bearish divergence) - AVGO - Earnings this week with $152M whale positioning - TSM - Manufacturing proxy staying strong near $300 - SMH - Pure semiconductor ETF momentum play - What This Means For Your Portfolio? If you've been waiting for a clear entry point in AI infrastructure, this is it. The regulatory overhang just lifted. The technical setup is clean. And institutions are positioning aggressively into the close. Pre-FOMC consolidation is healthy. Post-Fed (assuming no hawkish surprises), we could see continuation into year-end toward that SPY $700 psychological magnet. ⚡ Ready to trade these setups with precision?
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Shy Unabia
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360points to level up
@shy-unabia-5518
shy

Active 4h ago
Joined Sep 25, 2025
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