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Bad Ass Budget

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Personal financial budgeting course. Unique. Transformative. Simple 1- page method. No spreadsheets. Positive money mindset.

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1 contribution to Options Jive
SPY Call Ratio: Trading When the Market Gives You Almost Nothing
Let's be very clear about the current environment. The market is not blessing us with classic short-premium opportunities. Implied volatility is compressed. Realized volatility is low. Option sellers are fighting for scraps. And historically, this is exactly when traders get hurt. There are volatility regimes that have repeatedly proven to be toxic for naive premium selling: - Low VIX combined with elevated SKEW - High VVIX / VIX relationships The message is the market is calm on the surface, but convex tail risk is being quietly priced underneath. This is not the environment for short straddles, naked strangles, or heavy short gamma exposure. These structures look safe, until they aren't. And when they break, they break fast! So What Do We Do When Volatility Is Low? I do less, not more. And when I do trade, I remove the downside first. That is the key principle. In low-volatility regimes, the objective is not to maximize premium, but to stay alive while extracting small, structural edges. This is where call ratio spreads become extremely valuable. Why call ratios are the tight tool here? A properly constructed eliminates downside risk entirely, sells overpriced upside volatility, benefits from time decay, does not require a bearish view, and survives quiet, grinding markets. In other words: it allows us to stay engaged without selling our soul to tail risk. - My trade structure: SPY Feb 20, 43 DTE, Buy 1 x 715 Call, Sell 2 x 720 Calls. - Net Credit: $101, Probability of Profit: 82%, Max Profit: $601, Theta: +$5.4 This structure is intentionally placed above spot, where call demand is strongest, and where upside fear is most overpriced. Despite low realized volatility, upside calls remain rich. This is classic late-cycle behavior: fear of missing out, not fear of loss. I sell that fear. Downside risk is removed, this is the most important part. No matter what happens on the downside, there is no gamma crash risk. In today's regime, that alone is worth giving up premium. However, this trade does not have a capped upside loss! This is not a "set and forget" trade. It is a campaign component, exactly as outlined in the Trading Plan.
SPY Call Ratio: Trading When the Market Gives You Almost Nothing
1 like โ€ข 12d
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Jeff Eisert
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@jeff-eisert-7711
Creator of Bad Ass Budget, a 1-page super simple way to budget your money. Budgeting, Investing, Mindset and Community.

Active 4d ago
Joined Jan 2, 2026
INTJ
Oceanside, California