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DeFi University

159 members โ€ข $97/m

10 contributions to DeFi University
๐Ÿ” Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture: The 50-Week MA Test
Just analyzed some key market data that DeFi traders need to watch right now. The Bitcoin Situation: We're currently testing the 50-week moving average for the THIRD time in this cycle. Why does this matter? In previous cycles, the 50-week MA has been THE line in the sand: - Held as support during the bull run โœ… - When it broke (2 weekly closes below), the cycle ended ๐Ÿ“‰ - Next test became resistance, confirming the bear market Right now? We're at test #3. Last cycle, the third test marked the cycle top. But here's where it gets interesting... "This Time It's Different?" Yeah, I know - dangerous words in crypto. But the market structure might actually be evolving. We're seeing potential signs that this correction could be wrapping up. Other Markets to Watch: - Gold: Overbought by nearly every metric ๐Ÿ“Š - S&P 500: Found support at the 50-day MA and looking to push higher - US-China Trade: Could be the catalyst for year-end rally (same pattern as March/April) This Week's Catalyst: CPI data expected Friday (if it actually prints - government shutdown delayed it last time). This is CRUCIAL because: - Hot CPI = Fed might reconsider October rate cuts - Could impact December rate cut probability - Direct impact on risk-on assets like crypto The Technical Picture: That potential breakdown everyone was worried about? Cancelled. We're now several percentage points above those systematic sell triggers that had everyone nervous. My Take: The resolution of trade tensions + market finding support + Bitcoin holding this critical level = potential setup for a strong Q4. But watch that 50-week MA like a hawk. Two weekly closes below and we need to reassess everything. What's your read on this third test of the 50-week? Different this time or same old pattern?
๐Ÿ” Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture: The 50-Week MA Test
3 likes โ€ข Oct 21
great info. As I'm sure you know, the more often a support/resistance line is tested, the higher the probability is breaks through. On the flip side, I've notice many times if the 3rd hit is rejected then you see momentum going the other way. In this case, that would be bullish for BTC. Love the content.
๐ŸŽฏ David Zimmerman's Alt-Season Strategy & Token Picks
๐Ÿ’ญ The Risk-Reward Philosophy "I would much rather take on more risk for the potential ridiculously high return in an alt season." This is why the focus shifts from Bitcoin to higher-risk, higher-reward opportunities as alt-season approaches. โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐ŸŽฏ The Token Watchlist Layer 1s & Major Protocols ๐Ÿ”ต โ€ข ETH - The first rotation target โ€ข SOL - Key alt-season indicator โ€ข SUI - Emerging Layer 1 โ€ข AVAX - GameFi ecosystem play โ€ข Tron (TRX) - Established alternative DeFi Blue Chips ๐Ÿ’Ž โ€ข AAVE - Leading lending protocol โ€ข UNI - DEX leader โ€ข PENDLE - Yield trading innovation โ€ข ETHFI - Liquid staking derivative Infrastructure & Bridges ๐Ÿ”ง โ€ข BNB - Exchange token powerhouse โ€ข LINK - Oracle dominance โ€ข ARB - L2 scaling solution Gaming & Metaverse ๐ŸŽฎ โ€ข Superverse (SUPER) - GameFi ecosystem โ€ข AVAX - Strong GameFi presence โ€ข "GameFi stuff really took off at the end of alt season last cycle" High Risk/High Reward ๐Ÿš€ โ€ข HYPE - Emerging protocol โ€ข TAO - Speculative play โ€ข AERO - DeFi opportunity Meme Coins ๐Ÿธ โ€ข FARTCOIN โ€ข DOGE โ€ข SPX โ€ข PENGU โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” โฐ The Timing Strategy ๐Ÿ”ด Not Quite Yet Current Status: Very close to alt-season, but patience required ๐Ÿ“… The 2-3 Week Timeline Wait for these key events: 1. Bitcoin Correction ๐Ÿ“‰ Let Bitcoin finish its current correction phase 2. ETH Capitulation ๐Ÿ˜ฑ "Let ETH scare some people by breaking down to 4,000" 3. Volatility Spike ๐Ÿ“Š "Let vol pump in September" 4. Deploy Capital ๐Ÿ’ฐ "Then have your cash ready to buy" โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” ๐Ÿ’ผ The Action Plan What Zimmerman is Doing: โ€ข Watching for Bitcoin to complete correction โœ… โ€ข Waiting for ETH to create fear at $4,000 โœ… โ€ข Expecting September volatility spike โœ… โ€ข Keeping cash ready for deployment โœ… The Bottom Line: "That's what I'm doing" โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ”โ” โš ๏ธ The Reality Check "But what do I know? No one knows anything about direction. Like I don't know anything. Like it's impossible." Key Reminder: โ€ข Nobody can predict exact market direction
๐ŸŽฏ David Zimmerman's Alt-Season Strategy & Token Picks
0 likes โ€ข Sep 1
Great stuff! Here is site I like. Is it Alt Season? Alt Season Index> https://www.blockchaincenter.net/altcoin-season-index/
Jake Call
@David Zimmerman what channel are you on with Jake?
1 like โ€ข Aug 13
Found it
2 likes โ€ข Aug 13
https://www.youtube.com/live/ht600V1Q-yI?si=fDuV0Jyq1siLqSDw
๐Ÿ“ˆ The Pivotal Point: Livermore's Game-Changing Trading Method
TL;DR: Jesse Livermore's pivotal point strategy from 1940 created the blueprint for modern breakout trading. Wait for predetermined price levels, enter with confirmation, scale positions, and exit fast when wrong. ๐Ÿ’ฐ The Million-Dollar Quote "Whenever I have had the patience to wait for the market to arrive at what I call a 'Pivotal Point' before I started to trade, I have always made money in my operations." This single principle became the foundation for CANSLIM, momentum trading, and modern breakout strategies. ๐ŸŽฏ What Are Pivotal Points? Definition: Predetermined price levels where major moves begin. Three Types: 1. Psychological: Round numbers ($50, $100, $200) 2. Technical: 52-week highs/lows 3. Structure: Support/resistance zones Key Insight: These aren't random - they're where supply/demand shifts decisively. ๐Ÿ“Š The Trading Rules Entry Method โ€ข Never buy in anticipation โ€ข Always wait for confirmation โ€ข Example: Stock expected to rise from $25 to $50? Don't buy at $25. Wait for $28. Position Sizing (Pyramiding) For 500 shares: โ€ข 300 shares at $100 (initial) โ€ข 100 shares at $105 (scale up) โ€ข 100 shares at $110 (complete) โš ๏ธ The 3-Point Rule Stock moves 3 points against your pivotal point = EXIT IMMEDIATELY No exceptions. No hope. No averaging down. ๐Ÿ“š Real Examples Bethlehem Steel (1915) โœ… โ€ข Waited 3 weeks for pivotal point at 100 โ€ข Bought 99-99ยพ โ€ข Sold at 155 within 5 days Failed Anaconda Trade โŒ โ€ข Pivotal point: 300 โ€ข Only reached 302ยพ (weak action) โ€ข Immediate exit avoided crash to 225 ๐Ÿš€ Modern Applications Direct Descendants: โ€ข William O'Neil's CANSLIM โ€ข Mark Minervini's Trend Template โ€ข Algorithmic breakout systems Works Across: โ€ข Stocks & ETFs โ€ข Crypto markets โ€ข Options strategies โ€ข DeFi tokens โšก The System in Action Step 1: Identify pivotal points through price study Step 2: Wait patiently for price to reach the level Step 3: Enter partially when crossed with volume Step 4: Scale up if price continues favorably Step 5: Exit immediately at danger signals
1 like โ€ข Aug 11
Just listening Livermore's How to Trade in Stocks and read his other one Reminiscences of a Stock Operator. Very good! Thx for sharing!
Live Sessions - Subscribe to All
Is there a way to subscribe to all of the live sessions at one time vs one at a time?
1 like โ€ข Aug 4
@Alex Jara ahh that makes sense. thx
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Dan Cote
3
36points to level up
@dan-cote-9794
Father, husband of 3 boys and Grandpa to two beautiful granddaughters. Passionate to learn and grow in the crypto, trading and defi world full time.

Active 9h ago
Joined Jul 14, 2025
Edmonton, AB
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