📋 TFZ WATCHLIST — WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2026 📋 Good morning, TFZ family! ☀️ The market is OPEN today, 9:30 a.m. – 4:00 p.m. ET — Veterans Day, so stocks trade normal hours while the bond market is closed and no major U.S. data is due. Tuesday was a hot-CPI selloff, but futures are bouncing hard this morning — the Nasdaq is leading on CoreWeave's earnings beat, and the whole chip group is gapping up. The Fed repricing is real though: a December hike is now a near-certainty, and the only question is 25 or 50 basis points. Today is a confirm-first day — a gap up is not a trade until the open holds it. 📊 MARKET CONTEXT 🔴 S&P 500 — 7,520.93 (-0.38% Tuesday, -29.01 points) 🔴 Nasdaq Composite — 25,065.87 (-0.74% Tuesday, -187.26 points) 🔴 Dow — 52,231.89 (-0.30% Tuesday, -157.86 points) 🔴 Russell 2000 — 2,821.38 (-0.68% Tuesday) 🔴 SPY — $749.92 Tuesday close (range $744.86–$752.14) 🔴 QQQ — $674.76 Tuesday close (range $667.05–$680.95) 🔴 IWM — $280.58 Tuesday close (range $277.91–$281.33) Premarket this morning (8:53 a.m. ET): SPY near $757.06 (+0.95%), QQQ $687.25 (+1.85%), IWM $283.11 (+0.90%). Futures at about 7:35 a.m. ET: Nasdaq-100 +1.86%, S&P 500 +0.84%, Dow +0.14%. Tuesday's hot CPI knocked stocks lower, but the bounce this morning is real — CoreWeave's earnings beat is lifting the whole AI trade. The 10-year yield closed Tuesday at 4.98%, after briefly trading above 5%. Oil is bouncing off two-month lows — WTI near $86.53 (+0.57%), Brent near $92.20 (+0.78%). Gold (Dec futures) fell 1.84% Tuesday to $4,038.70. Six of 11 sectors finished higher Tuesday, with Financials leading — but Tech lagged, down 1.15% on the Nvidia drag. 📊 VIX GAME PLAN 🟢 VIX closed Tuesday at 19.44, down 2.41% (fear easing). Premarket VIX was near 18.46, down about 5% at 8:28 a.m. ET. ✅ Below 16 = calm, Ron's calm level — cleaner follow-through for calls ⚠️ Between 16 and 19.44 = still above calm, trade small and only confirmed setups ⚠️ Between 19.44 and 25.64 = fear rebuilding, size down and wait for a real setup

📊 PREMARKET FUTURES 🟢 Dow E-minis +15 pts (+0.03%) 🟢 S&P 500 E-minis +55.75 pts (+0.74%) 🟢 Nasdaq 100 E-minis +465.25 pts (+1.67%) 🧠 WHAT THIS TELLS US Futures are bouncing after Tuesday's hot-CPI selloff — the Nasdaq is leading on CoreWeave's earnings beat and an Nvidia bounce. But the Fed repricing is real: a December hike is now a near-certainty, and the only question is 25 or 50 basis points. Today is Veterans Day — stocks trade normal hours, the bond market is closed, and no major U.S. data is due, so the tape trades on earnings and headlines. 📊 TUESDAY'S CLOSE — NOVEMBER 10, 2026 Hot CPI and Waller's 50-point warning knocked stocks lower, but the damage was contained — the equal-weight S&P barely moved, and 6 of 11 sectors finished higher. 🔴 Dow 52,231.89 (-0.30%, -157.86 pts) 🔴 S&P 500 7,520.93 (-0.38%, -29.01 pts) 🔴 Nasdaq Composite 25,065.87 (-0.74%, -187.26 pts) 🔴 Nasdaq-100 27,740.80 (-0.60%) 🔴 Russell 2000 2,821.38 (-0.68%) 🟢 VIX 19.44 (-2.41%) — fear eased, but still above our calm level of 16 🔴 10-Year Yield 4.98% (+12 bp — briefly above 5%) 🔴 WTI Crude $86.04 (-0.9%) 🔴 Brent Crude $91.49 (-1.2%) — dipped below $90 intraday, first time since August 🔴 Gold (Dec futures) $4,038.70 (-1.84%) 🔥 MAJOR MARKET CATALYSTS 1️⃣ HOT CPI — INFLATION BEATS, DECEMBER HIKE NOW A NEAR-CERTAINTY October CPI rose 0.4% month over month (vs. 0.3% expected; September +0.6%), and core CPI rose 0.3% (vs. 0.2% expected) — the third straight month at 0.3%. The unrounded core reading was 0.297% — right on Fed Governor Waller's line: he said a 0.3% core print means a 50 basis point December hike "should be considered." The 2-year Treasury yield jumped about 18 bp to 4.74%, and the 10-year briefly traded above 5% before closing at 4.98%. Markets now price a December hike as a near-certainty — about a 90% chance of 25 bp and about 10% for 50 bp (CME FedWatch). Goldman Sachs added a third 25 bp hike to its forecast for March 2027, taking the peak rate to 4.25–4.50%.

🚨 LIVE TRADING THURSDAY & FRIDAY! 🚨 Who's ready to trade with me? I'll be going LIVE this Thursday and Friday from 9:00 AM to approximately 10:00–10:15 AM EST! 📈 We're starting in the premarket, breaking down the charts, identifying A+ setups, and trading the market together in real time! 💻 Come trade with me, hand in hand! Watch how I analyze price action, wait for confirmation, and execute my trades. This is your opportunity to learn the process firsthand, ask questions, and build your confidence. Whether you're a beginner or experienced trader, pull up and let's get to work! We don't guess, we confirm. ⚠️ Trade From Zero | Education only. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.

📊 Midday update — two names from today's watchlist: • NVDA: shareholders filed a class-action lawsuit Monday, alleging NVDA and Jensen Huang concealed his relationship with a suspected Chinese spy and the national-security risks. NVDA fell 4.3% Monday to $178.67 (~$190B wiped). This is on top of the board's independent probe. NVDA stays a put only below $170.24 — confirm first. • OXY: Q3 EPS $1.91 vs $1.46 expected — a ~30% beat — but revenue $6.77B vs ~$6.82B expected, a small miss. That earnings beat is a caution flag for the OXY put — wait for the confirmed break. ⚠️ Educational purposes only — we don't guess, we confirm.

Good morning, TFZ family! ☀️ Monday was the best day since April. The S&P jumped 2.35%, the Nasdaq jumped 2.74%, and chips ripped. But October CPI just came in HOT at 8:30 a.m. — headline +0.4% and core +0.3%, both above forecast — and Waller is now talking about a possible 50bp December hike. Premarket has flipped lower across the board. Today is a confirm-first day, not a chase day. Let the open tell you the truth. 📊 MARKET CONTEXT 🟢 S&P 500 — 7,549.94 (+2.35% Monday, best day since April 8) 🟢 Nasdaq Composite — 25,253.14 (+2.74% Monday) 🟢 Dow — 52,389.75 (+2.15% Monday, +1,104.02 points) 🟢 Russell 2000 — 2,840.81 (+3.15% Monday) 🟢 SPY — $752.69 Monday close (range $741.03–$755.42) 🟢 QQQ — $679.35 Monday close (range $662.02–$682.48) 🟢 IWM — $282.51 Monday close (range $276.81–$283.79) Premarket this morning (8:53 a.m. ET): SPY near $748.51 (-0.56%), QQQ $671.47 (-1.16%), IWM $280.34 (-0.77%). Futures after the CPI print: Nasdaq-100 -0.8%, Dow +0.1%, S&P 500 -0.3%. October CPI came in hot — headline +0.4% vs +0.3% expected, core +0.3% vs +0.2% expected, the third straight month at +0.3% for core. No 12-month rate was published. Fed Governor Waller said this morning he leans toward a 25bp December hike even if CPI improves, and if core came in at +0.3% or higher, a 50bp hike "should be considered." December hike odds were about 84–85% before the print. Oil is falling again — WTI near $85.12 (-1.99%), Brent below $90. Gold is near $4,120. The 10-year yield is 4.89%. Monday's rally was broad — all 11 sectors higher, Industrials leading — but the bond market never bought it, and now hot CPI is testing the bounce. The Dow is holding up best. The Nasdaq is fading hardest. 📊 VIX GAME PLAN 🟢 VIX closed Monday at 19.92, down 22.31% (fear easing hard after Friday's 25.64). Premarket VIX was near 19.99, up about 0.35% at 7:23 a.m. ET — before the CPI print. ✅ Below 16 = calm, Ron's calm level — cleaner follow-through for calls ⚠️ Between 16 and 19.92 = still above calm, trade small and only confirmed setups