MARKET CONTEXT
Markets are opening under pressure after yesterdayβs selling continued overnight.
β οΈ Key concern:
VIX is sitting around 21.25, which moves us from a bullish environment into a higher-volatility environment.
This doesnβt mean the bull market is over.
It means:
β
Expect larger moves
β
Expect more fake breakouts
β
Wait for confirmation
β
Size down if necessary
The strongest names will be the ones that reclaim levels first after the opening volatility.
VIX ANALYSIS
VIX β 21.25
π΄ Above 20 = Elevated Risk
π΄ Expect larger intraday swings
π΄ Momentum favors patience
β οΈ If VIX falls back under 20:
π’ Bullish momentum can quickly return
TFZ GAME PLAN
β
Wait 5-15 minutes after open
β
Let leaders reclaim levels
β
Donβt chase opening candles
β
Focus on relative strength
β
Trade confirmation, not prediction
SPY / QQQ
SPY β 729.05
π’ CALLS
If SPY reclaims premarket highs and holds:
Target β 732 β 735 β 738
π΄ PUTS
If SPY loses 726:
Target β 722 β 718
QQQ β 699.90
π’ CALLS
If QQQ reclaims 702:
Target β 707 β 712
π΄ PUTS
If QQQ loses 696:
Target β 690 β 685
MAG 7 / LARGE ACCOUNT WATCHES
NVDA β 201.59
π’ CALLS
If NVDA reclaims 204:
Target β 208 β 212
π΄ PUTS
If NVDA loses 199:
Target β 195
TSLA β 385.41
π’ CALLS
If TSLA reclaims 390:
Target β 400
π΄ PUTS
If TSLA loses 380:
Target β 370
META β 571.00
π’ CALLS
If META reclaims 575:
Target β 585 β 595
π΄ PUTS
If META loses 565:
Target β 555
AMD β 460.32
π’ CALLS
If AMD reclaims 465:
Target β 475
π΄ PUTS
If AMD loses 450:
Target β 440
PLTR β 129.52
β οΈ Watching closely after weakness.
π’ CALLS
If PLTR reclaims 132:
Target β 136 β 140
π΄ PUTS
If PLTR loses 127:
Target β 122
AI / INFRASTRUCTURE / SEMIS
VRT β 287.00
π’ CALLS
If VRT reclaims 290:
Target β 300 β 310
π΄ PUTS
If VRT loses 282:
Target β 275
CRWV β 93.90
π’ CALLS
If CRWV reclaims 96:
Target β 100
π΄ PUTS
If CRWV loses 92:
Target β 88
ORCL β 184.44
β οΈ Earnings momentum still in play.
π’ CALLS
If ORCL reclaims 187:
Target β 192 β 200
π΄ PUTS
If ORCL loses 180:
Target β 175
ANET β 153.35
π’ CALLS
If ANET reclaims 155:
Target β 160
π΄ PUTS
If ANET loses 150:
Target β 145
TSM β 412.10
π’ CALLS
If TSM reclaims 415:
Target β 425
π΄ PUTS
If TSM loses 405:
Target β 395
SMALL ACCOUNT WATCHES
SOFI β 16.00
π’ CALLS
If SOFI reclaims 16.25:
Target β 17
π΄ PUTS
If SOFI loses 15.75:
Target β 15
QBTS β 23.60
π’ CALLS
If QBTS reclaims 24:
Target β 26
π΄ PUTS
If QBTS loses 23:
Target β 21
RGTI β 19.90
π’ CALLS
If RGTI reclaims 20.50:
Target β 22
π΄ PUTS
If RGTI loses 19:
Target β 17.50
APLD β 39.07
π’ CALLS
If APLD reclaims 40:
Target β 43
π΄ PUTS
If APLD loses 38:
Target β 35
IREN β 52.20
π’ CALLS
If IREN reclaims 53:
Target β 56
π΄ PUTS
If IREN loses 50:
Target β 47
DEFENSE / ENERGY ROTATION
Defense continues showing relative strength while tech is pulling back.
LMT
π’ CALLS
If LMT holds strength:
Target β continuation higher
GD
π’ CALLS
Strong relative strength.
Watch for continuation.
RTX
π’ CALLS
Watch for continuation if money rotates defensive.
TOP 3 LARGE ACCOUNT SETUPS
π₯ NVDA
π₯ VRT
π₯ ORCL
TOP 3 SMALL ACCOUNT SETUPS
π₯ QBTS
π₯ APLD
π₯ SOFI
TFZ GAME PLAN
β
VIX above 20 = trade smaller
β
Wait for confirmation
β
Let leaders reclaim levels
β
Focus on NVDA, VRT, ORCL
β
Small accounts focus QBTS, APLD, SOFI
β
We donβt panic, we profit. π°π₯