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Your Dollar Lost 25% of Its Value. Here's How It Happened.
You've probably noticed it. Groceries cost more. Gas costs more. The same cart of stuff you bought in 2020 for $100 runs you closer to $130 now. And the weird part is, you might be earning more than you were back then. So what happened? Most people land on one of two conclusions: 1. "I'm spending too much." 2. "I need to earn more." Both feel logical. Both miss the actual problem. Between 2020 and 2022, roughly $6.4 trillion in new dollars were added to the U.S. money supply. That's about 26% of all dollars currently in existence, created in just 2 years. Here's where it gets interesting. When people hear "money printer," they picture a machine cranking out cash. The real version is quieter and way more technical. But the effect is the same. New dollars come from 4 places: - The Federal Reserve buys Treasury bonds from banks and pays with freshly created digital reserves. The Fed's balance sheet roughly DOUBLED during COVID. - Commercial banks take your deposit, keep a fraction, and lend the rest. That loan becomes someone else's deposit, which gets lent again. One dollar of reserves can generate around $10 in new loans circulating through the economy. - The U.S. Treasury issues bonds to cover spending that taxes can't. Stimulus checks, PPP loans, relief programs...all of these put brand new dollars into people's hands. - Shadow markets (repo lending, money market funds, derivatives) create money-like instruments that function as dollars. Mostly invisible, but massive in scale. So now there are trillions more dollars in the system. But the supply of houses, groceries, cars, and energy didn't grow at the same rate. More money chasing the same stuff. Prices go up. Your paycheck isn't the thing that shrank. It's the dollar. And that's the part that messes with people's heads, because the number in your bank account looks the same (or even bigger). But what that number buys keeps getting smaller, slowly, year after year. Most of us know it's happening. But the confusing academic jargon keeps most people from knowing how. Now you know.
Your Dollar Lost 25% of Its Value. Here's How It Happened.
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4/12 - Market Update: Iran Ceasefire, USD failing, AI threat
Key take away this week? - We're seeing how US leadership is trying to keep the USD from losing relevance globally. The US government had the most consequential week in crypto history and most people were watching red candles as the market tanks without realizing what’s actually happening…. Every story this past week connects to the same thread: The old financial system is cracking, Washington knows it, and crypto isn't the threat they're racing to contain, instead it's the lifeboat they're trying to build by making the US the crypto capital of the world. What happened this last week #1 Iran talks collapsed. Remember what we said last week - this is THE CHART that actually matters. So after 21 hours of closed-door negotiations, JD Vance confirmed Iran rejected US red lines. The war continues. The Strait of Hormuz stays constrained. Oil inflation isn't going away. It's only getting worse now with the naval blockade set by Trump. - What it means for you: The Fed's rate cut window shifts later probably towards the end of Q4. The thesis is still holding strong. Expect a resolution as May draws nearer. Political pressure is mounting, but a part of me feels like Trump will go scorched earth Iran... the more I listen to talk the more it feels like it's a Now or Never situation. He's leaning towards NOW.  #2 Treasury & Fed called a secret bank CEO meeting. Scott Bessent and Jerome Powell summoned the heads of Citi, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, BofA, and Wells Fargo to an unannounced meeting over Anthropic's new AI model, Mythos, which can crack vulnerabilities in every major operating system and web browser for under $50. Yes. That’s my bank, probably your bank and millions of other people around the US are potentially in trouble. - What it means for you: The digital pipes the dollar runs on are more fragile than anyone admits publicly. Nobody commented on the record. Watch what they do, not what they say. Everyone said quantum was a Bitcoin threat, we’re not even there yet and the financial system is already in peril from language focused AI models. Smelling a bank run (will start withdrawing some cash to have on the side like what happened in 2023 with Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).
4/12 - Market Update: Iran Ceasefire, USD failing, AI threat
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Welcome to The School of Bits — Start Here!
In our 10+ years of combined experience being in this industry, we watched good, capable and smart people miss the most important financial shift of our lifetime. Not because they weren't paying attention, but because the first thing they heard was "scam" and nobody gave them an honest explanation to learn otherwise. We're not here to push a "get rich" strategy, or convince you of doing anything. We're here because the biggest financial shift of our lifetime is unfolding right now. So we built the education we wish existed, compressed it into lessons that take minutes, and made sure you never have to feel like you're already too late. This is that place. _____________________________________________________________________ Here's where to begin: Step 1 — Download The Bitcoin Castle: Before you touch a single lesson, grab our free visual guide: The Bitcoin Castle: A Visual Beginner's Guide That Explains Why Bitcoin Has Value. It's the foundation everything else is built on. If you've ever struggled to understand why Bitcoin has value at all, this is the thing that makes it click. You'll find it waiting for you at the start of the Beginner Course below. Step 2 — Start the Beginner Crypto Crash Course: This is your home base. We built this course around the questions real beginners actually ask without the weird crypto jargon and techy explanations. By the time you finish, you'll understand what Bitcoin is, why it exists, why it matters, and why the timing of this conversation is important. Step 3 — Follow the Market Breakdowns: We publish regular news breakdowns and market analysis discussions so you can start connecting what you're learning to what's actually happening in the world right now. This is where the theory you're learning becomes real and you'll start to understand that Bitcoin isn't getting more valuable, it's your dollars getting weaker. ___________________________________________________________________ What's coming: The School of Bits is a growing school and this is just the beginning.
Welcome to The School of Bits — Start Here!
Morgan Stanley called Bitcoin worthless. Now they sell it.
Morgan Stanley called Bitcoin worthless. Now, as of April of 2026, they sell it. It's one heck of a 180 story for a trillion dollar corporate finance giant. Here's how it happened: - 2017: Morgan Stanley analyst publishes a research note. His conclusion: Bitcoin's "true value" could be zero. - 2024: Morgan Stanley quietly lets its advisors recommend Bitcoin ETFs (made by BlackRock, Fidelity, other firms). - April 2026: Morgan Stanley launches MSBT, its own Bitcoin ETF. Lowest fee on the market. 16,000 advisors ready to pitch it. Same bank. Same logo on the door. So what flipped? Money did. Every time an advisor pointed a client toward BlackRock's Bitcoin fund, the management fee walked out the door to BlackRock. MSBT keeps that fee in-house. And Morgan Stanley didn't stop there. They have more crypto products cooking: - Filed for an Ethereum fund - Filed for a Solana fund - Applied for a federal bank charter to hold crypto directly - Planning to launch retail crypto trading on E*Trade this year They're essentialy bolting an entire crypto operation onto the bank, piece by piece. Here's the part worth chewing on for you: - When Bitcoin was small and cheap, Wall Street called it a joke - When it proved it wasn't dying, they let clients buy someone else's Bitcoin product - When those products made real money for other firms, they built their own - Now 16,000 advisors will pitch it to clients sitting on $6+ trillion (And that's just one company) That's the playbook. Wait. Watch retail take the risk. Then package the thing retail discovered and sell it back with a Morgan Stanley sticker on it. Better late than never I guess. But we built this community to give you the easy to learn info that keeps you one step ahead. Watch what big money does. Ignore what it says. But here's the question I want to hear your answers for: If a big trillion dollar bank flips from "worth zero" to selling its own Bitcoin fund in under a decade, does that make you trust Bitcoin more, or trust banks less?
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Morgan Stanley called Bitcoin worthless. Now they sell it.
Wall Street Is Buying Bitcoin. They're Just Not Telling You.
So this number blew my mind when I saw it this week and I had to share it with you all. Since Bitcoin ETFs launched back in early 2024, over $53 billion has flowed into them from institutional investors. The original prediction from analysts? $15 billion max. It tripled that and kept going. We're talking the biggest names in finance. The same people who spent years on CNBC calling Bitcoin a scam, a fad, a pet rock. Now look at what they're actually doing: - BlackRock has been the single biggest driver of Bitcoin ETF inflows all year, pulling in roughly $1.7 billion in just the last few weeks - Morgan Stanley just filed to launch their own Bitcoin AND Solana ETFs - On April 6th alone, $471 million flowed into Bitcoin ETFs in a single day - For perspective, it took gold ETFs five years to hit this level of inflows. Bitcoin ETFs did it in just over two That last one is worth sitting with for a second. Five years vs two years. That tells you how much big money demand was sitting on the sidelines just waiting for a "legitimate" way in. So what does this actually mean for regular people like us? It means the debate is already over at the top. The institutions made their decision. They moved. Meanwhile the mainstream conversation is still stuck on "is crypto even real?" This is how it always works with money. The big players move first and move quietly. Then years later everyone else finds out and wonders why they didn't pay attention sooner. It happened with real estate in the 70s. It happened with tech stocks in the 90s. It happened with index funds. It's happening right now with Bitcoin. I'm not saying go buy anything tomorrow. That's not what this community is about. But understanding what the biggest money managers on Earth are doing with their capital is probably worth 10 minutes of your time. So be honest in the comments... Did you know about the $53 billion number before reading this? Does it actually surprise you that big institutions are buying?
Wall Street Is Buying Bitcoin. They're Just Not Telling You.
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