Coffee Break with Neal – May 8, 2026
How IRS enforcement is quietly shifting from people to machines Today’s Coffee Break dug into what’s actually happening inside the IRS right now, why everything that needs a human is grinding to a halt, and at the same time why automated enforcement is ramping up. The IRS has been gutted (on purpose) - Since early 2025, IRS headcount has dropped from roughly 100,000–102,000 employees down to about 74,000 by the end of 2025, around a 27% reduction according to Yale’s Budget Lab. - There have been multiple leadership changes, including the unofficial “CEO” Bisignano, who functions like a commissioner but without actual Senate confirmation. - Morale inside the IRS is reportedly terrible, and anything that requires a human touching your file is painfully slow. - GAO reported about 2 million “open files” in the system at the end of 2025, and we’re seeing that in real life at Tax Sherpa with items sent in late 2024/2025 that still haven’t been processed. Customer service is so backlogged that the IRS temporarily reassigned about 1,500 IT and HR staff to phone and taxpayer service duty after a short training sprint, and now that “temporary” assignment has been extended. Human audits are collapsing - Headcount is at the lowest level since the 1960s, and there is internal talk of cutting it further to around 50,000. - Audits for high-income individuals, partnerships, and large corporations are down about 31% by mid‑2025. - The Global High Wealth office lost roughly 38% of its staff in the early weeks of Trump’s term, and Criminal Investigation has also been heavily reduced. - Total completed audits are down to about 497,000 a year, under 30% of the prior 1.7 million average, implying roughly a 70% drop in people‑driven audit activity. - Yale Budget Lab projects roughly $600 billion of lost revenue over 10 years from reduced enforcement, which is basically a rounding error at federal budget scale. So, on the human side, enforcement is much weaker. But that does not mean enforcement overall is weaker.