PSA if you got rekt on Friday, your algos are too correlated
Let me know if this sounds familiar: 1. You had multiple algos all lose money yesterday. 2. All of your stocks and crypto all lost money yesterday. 3. Your overall portfolio was red yesterday, and it wasn't just a small loss, it was magnitudes larger than what you normally experience when it comes to drawdowns. These are symptoms of the root problem that your portfolio is too correlated. When you have multiple algos that are too correlated to the underlying market they trade Then you expose yourself to large single day losses like yesterday. Correlated market groups: 1. S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell 2. Bitcoin, Ethereum 3. Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper 4. Oil, Gasoline, Nat Gas These groups of markets are all similar, right? Now, what happens is when there's a black swan event like the one that we had yesterday, all of the correlations line up, so all of these markets tend to fall at the same time during a black swan event. Now if you're just buying and holding assets like AI stocks, tech stocks, S&P 500, NASDAQ, these are all in the same group. So, of course you're going to be exposed to correlation risk if you only invest in one asset group. One way we can diversify risk is to trade different industries like: metals, energy, crypto, indexes, currencies. But as you saw yesterday, when there is a black swan event, when there's panic selling that occurs, even assets in different industries can become correlated. So how we diversify further is by trading different directions: Both Long & Short Yesterday, we had profits from GC going long and ES going short. And sometimes even this is not enough, so we have to diversify even further by varying the bar type that we trade. Our Zeus strategy trades gold to the long side on Kase bars, which is a volatility-based bar. So the edge on an exotic bar type is going to be very alien to just a traditional time-based bar, for example. And then our final line of defense, and perhaps the best tool in our arsenal, is to use different strategy types.