Current beta weighted risk is 4.7 against the SPX. Overall theta on S&P futures is 67.82. SPX beta weighted risk ~$35,198. All else being equal, this represents $2,035 every 30 days due to theta decay ~5.8% monthly. Beta weighted portfolio value is approximately 2x the futures balance ($17,539). The attached graph shows the current stress test with losses beginning at /MES price of $6,043 and $8,490 by 8/22/2026. Approximately 2.6% of the portfolio is long micro oil futures as a hedge against Iran war escalation through /MCL futures options. Last week's position was adjusted to reflect the drop in oil futures this week when it appeared that the Iran war would stabilize again. Readers can see the major positions held by my account in the classroom section under trading journal. Annual update: after one full year of tracking since July of 2025, account value growth (loss) not including deposited funds is $13,518 for an annualized return of just over 31%.

Current beta weighted risk is 5.4 against the SPX. Overall theta on S&P futures is 102.3. SPX beta weighted risk ~$40,024. All else being equal, this represents $3,069 every 30 days due to theta decay ~7.7% monthly. Beta weighted portfolio value is over 2x the futures value ($17,479). The attached graph shows the current stress test with losses beginning at /ES price of $6,142 and $8,765 by 8/22/2026. Approximately 1.6% of the portfolio is long micro oil futures as a hedge against Iran war escalation through /MCL futures options. Readers can see the major positions held by my account in the classroom section under trading journal. Removed some of the risk on /ES futures by purchasing an offsetting option for the open leg for three of the back ratios on the put side. All three purchases locked in profits as enough time decay has occurred to allow their purchase to be financed by the original trade.

Current beta weighted risk is 4.7 against the SPX. Overall theta on futures is 102.9. SPX beta weighted risk ~$35,047. All else being equal, this represents $3,087 every 30 days due to theta decay ~8.8% monthly. Beta weighted portfolio values is close to the futures value ($21,703). The attached graph shows the current stress test with losses beginning at /ES price of $6,167 and $8,750 by 8/21/2026.

Current beta weighted risk is 3.7 against the SPX. Overall theta on futures is 75.7. SPX beta weighted risk ~$28,028.94. All else being equal, this represents $2,271 every 30 days due to theta decay ~8.1% monthly. Beta weighted portfolio values is close to the futures value ($21,929.98). The attached graph shows the current stress test with losses beginning at /ES price of $5,778 and $8,549 by 8/22/2026. The MGM trade continues to develop with seven strangles. Current expected return is $9,820. Breakeven prices are 35.09, and 66.37. See second chart for the risk profile of this trade.