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Rebel Economist (Free)

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Rebel Economist Institute

1.1k members • $10,000/year

776 contributions to Rebel Economist (Free)
Method or madness?
I think it was the economist Romer who said that orthodox economics is methodologically unself-aware. Steve’s lectures on methodology are therefore particularly relevant. I knew that Karl Popper, as Steve explained, didn’t properly describe the methods of science. But I didn’t know some things that I subsequently saw in Wikipedia’s page on Popper - that he was a firm opponent of those alternative routes to knowledge (variants of epistemology, the theory of knowledge) that were not based on empirical testing. He argued for falsification-through-test rather than confirmation-by-selective-observation that characterised the inductivist method of classical science. I therefore also read Wikipedia’s voluminous page on epistemology, which says - “Epistemology explores how people should acquire beliefs.”. I was surprised by how many different variants of that ‘how’ the page goes on to describe, such as ‘justification’, ‘rationality’, ‘contextualism’, ’skepticism’, ‘internalism, ‘externalism’ and ‘empiricism’ among others. Later it says - According to the correspondence theory of truth, to be true means to stand in the right relation to the world by accurately describing what it is like. This means that truth is objective: a belief is true if it corresponds to a fact.” and then “The coherence theory of truth says that a belief is true if it belongs to a coherent system of beliefs. A result of this view is that truth is relative since it depends on other beliefs.”. So ideas that are coherent can - in the ‘coherence’ definition- be seen as true even if they don’t correspond to reality.. I confess to shock at just how much of a ‘loose-fit’ to reality some of these methodologies about knowledge allow themselves to be. I guess science may have made me naive, in the sense that C P Snow was on about …
1 like • 6d
@Richard Corin Thanks for a great 'deep dive' into this stuff ! Taking your last point first, I'd say the dichotomy you describe is part of the problem - a distinct either/or, true/false situation. Earler you point out a key feature of science - in that it accepts the provisionality of all knowledge, so the absolutism of 'either/or' is rejected. In that sense, not only is science is pragmatic but so is ordinary existence, since provisionality is everywhere in everyday life. Indeed, life in general seems to be based on 'acting-on-the-basis-of-the-best-available-data-at-the-time'. Which makes economics weird in trying to omit time, and philosophy weird in trying to pursue (since before Plato) absolutism. So I think you get it right in your earlier words, saying "We simply do not like the ignorance and uncertainty that our species has always had to live with and try to "overcome". Humans want to create theories and believe they are on the right track" Indeed, we do so because "We also need guides that are at least better than chance, even when we may suspect that the current knowledge is imperfect or fallible." The problem seems to comes from those who want to leave out the attached clause in that sentence - often in pursuit of power over others, it seems.
1 like • 6d
@Richard Corin Well now - maybe I left out discussion of 'root minus one' because I subconciously didn't want to sound like one of the absolutists I was criticising. But I 'absolutely' do think that imaginary numbers are 'real'. Numerosity has more than ome dimension; there are things in the world whose measure requires more than one number. Root minus one has a good mechanical interpretation in rotation, electrical in impedance and physical in EM waves. Just as mathematicians in history rejected negative numbers, the rejection of the square root of minus one as somehow not real was a failing of cognition - a failure to use ideas that describe empirical evidence - much of it very tangible. That solutions of some equations happen to be include a different kind of numerosity is evidence of incompleteness in understanding quantity - that some quantities are vectors, or tensors, and so on …
Debunking is needed
The best way to describe my encounter with Dr Keen is from my what’s app messages below: I requested Wong Chan Min Principal to view Dr Keen’s YouTube “On the Origins of Energy Blindness” with a self torturing remark saying that I encountered another “stupid” guy like me. The reply was: [21:07, 13/02/2024] Wong Chan Min Principal: Datuk Hong, this professor is similar to you. For him neo classical economics is wrong tracked, whereas your MiT debunked wealth creation theories from classical economics to neo classical. [08:27, 15/02/2024] Wong chan min Principal: Datuk, say more about it after spending two solid hours listening and realizing there was another “stupid” being like you. Yes, it should be kind of Deja Vu for you. Both of you are the modern day of either Newton or Leibniz. Have you contacted your alter ego? If not by now you should have secured his book. So much for one hour listening. [16:21, 15/02/2024] Wong chan min Principal: Only one and one factor of production: Energy. Labor without energy is corpse, capital without energy is statue. [16:24, 15/02/2024] Wong chan min Principal: Datuk, you might as well send him your work for comments. You could possibly share his Nobel Prize, if ever awarded. [16:44, 15/02/2024] Wong chan min Principal: That's the effort from more than two hours listening. He's revising my acquired knowledge of economics. So nothing news except the comments I made.
0 likes • Jul '24
@Ngit Hong I agree there certainly should be much broader and more up-to-date education of those likey to go intopolitics. Currently, all around the world, they seem to be burden with old and often faulty ideas - orthodox economics being the worst case, I think !
0 likes • 6d
@Ngit Hong Overall, I think this interesting discussion circles round to show the truth of the Post's title - that debunking (i.e revision / revolution in education at secondary and later levels) is the only way to get society on the right track. So i was interested to hear of Andy's invovement with the SNP and attempts to change the secondary-education syllabus - I seem to have mislaid the reference to that which I thought I'd saved - dratt !
3 Sectors That Will Crash Once Corporate Inventory Hits Absolute Zero
For 3 months, shipping in the Gulf has basically flatlined 😬 While the news covers the political peace deals, the real macroeconomic crisis is the quiet depletion of global reserves. We've spent 90 days burning through our backups of 3 critical inputs: helium for tech, sulphur dioxide for manufacturing, and fertilizer for farming. The fighting might be pausing, but the global supply shocks are just starting. Steve just put out a solid breakdown explaining how this supply chain squeeze works and why it will reshape the market. It's a must-watch if you want the actual data instead of political spin 🔥: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2VjUB9dhG8&views Which sector do you think feels this inventory pinch first? 👇
0 likes • 15d
A background issue that surprised me - thought I suppose I should have known better - is that (within the main parties to this conflict) the dictatorship turns out to be the US. My earlier view was conventional - that Iran was held under the grip of one individual who suppressed all disent with their regime. But events have shown that named individuals, with power within the government of Iran, have put their heads above the parapet and expressed differing views about what Iran ought to do. In the US, individuals with power in government have followed Trump's lead with little dissent - even within the military. So much for a supposed democracy …
0 likes • 15d
I've just seen what maybe be coincidence or might be deliberate. Trump signed the Iran deal while he was meeting President Macron in France. Macron seems to have chosen to meet Trump at the Palace of Versaille. I've been there - it's all glitz, mirrors, gold, statues and fountains - no doubt to Trump's taste. It's where the agreement to end WW1 was signed. Notably, that was an armistice not a surrender and layed the foundation for a continuation of the war a generation later. Was Macron giving his opinion of Trump's 'victory' ?
The Lesson of the Sandwich Board
Younger Skool members may not believe it but, at the weekends around town when I was young, there would often be someone walking around carrying a sandwich-board-frame on their shoulders with the message, written in big, bold letters “Repent - for the End is Nigh”. Of course, the intent was a religious one. A recent article makes me wonder if any Californians are soon going to be doing likewise, carrying the same message but with a different interpretation and target attached to the word “Repent”. California is set to experience climate change in big, bold reality. See - https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/apr/01/snowmelt-american-west
1 like • 29d
@Nadine Gizak Sadly, it looks like bad times are ahead soon for parts of the wrld - Amewrica included. And I don't mean Trump's rage against his fading power …
0 likes • 28d
@Nadine Gizak Indeed - I find it a sad aspect of US politics that both of your Parties are 'captured'. The UK has more Parties, which allows space for at least some of them (not the main two, of course) to be less than fully 'captured' by vested interests.
Linguistic jailbreaking of AI - being coercively nasty to software
The journalist Jamie Bartlett has wriiten a book about how to talk to AI amorally. He describes the subject in a newspaper article at - https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/apr/29/meet-the-ai-jailbreakers-i-see-the-worst-things-humanity-has-produced Maybe it’s unsurprising that the ‘AI hackers’ he interviewed were emptionally drained and sometimes damaged by the experience of being deliberately coercive in language for apparently bad - yet ultimately good - ends. He says something I’ve seen elsewhere, but find hard to fully believe - “No one – not even the people who build them – knows precisely how these models work, which means no one knows how to make them fully safe, either. We pour vast amounts of data in and something intelligible (usually) comes out the other end. The bit in the middle remains a mystery.” Is that really true? He concludes - ““I’ve seen other jailbreakers go beyond their limits and have breakdowns,” says Tagliabue. Originally from Italy, he recently moved to Thailand to work remotely. “I see the worst things that humanity has produced. A quiet place helps me stay grounded,” he says. Every morning he watches the sunrise from the nearby temple, and a picture-perfect tropical beach is five minutes’ walk away from his villa. After yoga and a healthy breakfast, he switches on his computer, and wonders what else is going on inside the black box, and what makes these mysterious new “minds” say the things they do.”.
0 likes • May 3
@Richard Enns Many thanks for your insights. You seem to confirm that problems lie ahead, in unintended consequences ! My computing experience became focussed on signal-processing, whose code has to be extremely clear and straightforward for reasons of execution speed. I recall that my subsequent attempts to analyse seemingly-human-wrtten code (Javascript, I'm looking at you) left me with the impression of the flaccid language and convoluted logic you describe !
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@alwyn-lewis-1564
Retired signal-processing engineer, university lecturer. Interested in money system post '08 via Positive Money, economics interest grew thereafter.

Active 20h ago
Joined Jan 11, 2023
UK
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