Digital Pound Seignorage Creates New Policy Space Financing
When the Fed undertakes Quantitative Easing QE , they expand their Balance Sheet BS when they buy High Quality Liquid Assets HQLA (+A) from banks, and increase their Liabilities (+L) when they issue new reserve account credits in the reserve account of the selling bank, which increases the total supply of reserves. Fed BS: +Assets (+HQLA) +Liabilities (+reserves) This is sometimes mocked by memes showing Powell using the Fed’s ‘money gun,’ and is generally seen as “printing money.” However, the bank is completing an Asset Swap, selling High Quality Liquid Assets HQLA (-Assets), and receiving new reserve account credits, aka ‘reserves’ (+Assets). This means there is not an increase in Assets for banks, no new assets in the banking system, only an increase in the liquidity of bank Assets. Banks do not need reserves to make loans, so this increased liquidity results in no increase in loans or economic activity. And since the Fed sets rates using Interest On Reserve Balances IORB, the increase in bank liquidity has no effect on interest rates, although ample Ressrves can reduce the overnight rate that banks lend excess reserves to each other. So QE doesn’t seem to do much for banks in the current environment.. For the Treasury, they still have to pay Principal & Interest on the bond P&I regardless of who owns it. An interesting reality emerges when we look closely at bond repayment for bonds owned by the Fed. When the Fed receives payment from the Treasury bonds they have purchased, they often or normally ‘reinvest’ the maturing principal by swapping out expiring bonds for new bonds, sometimes called ‘swapping paper.’ However, in some circumstances the Treasury has to complete payment to the Fed, so they sell new bonds and transfer those reserves to When the Fed receives payment from the Treasury for bonds the Fed owns, this contracts the Fed’s BS. Fed BS: -Assets (-bonds) -Liabilities (-reserves) So the Fed owns $4T in UST bonds, but if they do nothing, the Treasury will pay $4T to the Fed and those reserves will be de-issued, and disappear forever.