The Heat are sitting as a -1.5 point favorite tonight against the Bulls for the play-in game. I believe there's a spot for a play on the Heat tonight. With Jimmy Butler not playing, the Bulls seem to be getting all the public money. But understand, the Heat are a bit different than most teams that miss star players. First off, when we look at gambling on games like this, the Heat are extremely well coached. A significant edge in coaching, not to mention a very good home court advantage. Bulls are coming off a win against the Hawks that've struggling all year. The win looks better than it is. If you look historically at the Heat record with one star missing, going back all the way to 2016, they're covering at a significantly better clip than most of the league. This point spread, should be at a -2.5, -3 points, not -1.5 tonight. I believe there is an edge to be had on the Heat tonight.