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Case Study: Semiconductor Momentum Strategy (101.9%% CAGR, 1.830 Sharpe)
Three concentrated semiconductor holdings with three hedge layers returned 101.9% a year at a 1.830 Sharpe ratio, which is what the best-looking numbers in this library look like. Over thirteen held-out years the same engine returns -16.70% at a 94.2% drawdown, and adding the hedges makes it worse. It is a bet on one era, and it can be held as one knowingly. The full write-up, including how it was built and what failed, is on the case study page
Case Study: Semiconductor Momentum Strategy (101.9%% CAGR, 1.830 Sharpe)
Case Study: Momentum Pullback Strategy (13.8% CAGR, -20,7% DD)
Buying two-day flushes in strong large-cap uptrends returned 13.8% a year at a 20.7% drawdown against the S&P 500's 10.9% at 55.0%, and it made 4.3% through the financial crisis while the S&P 500 lost 54.1%. The full write-up, including how it was built and what failed, is on the case study page
Case Study: Momentum Pullback Strategy (13.8% CAGR, -20,7% DD)
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