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Clarity Act Was Passed... But Trouble Ahead?
Seems the Clarity Act was passed, but there's still people (Democrats) saying they won't necessarily vote for it on the floor. Heavy sell pressure between 81k and 83k on the four hour. So I advise caution. Watch this full video update from today's Retire Rich class! https://youtu.be/LNSIzf_t6Y8?si=vaAZsAwf6v2O3Bgf
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Bitcoin and Crypto Market Update
Opposing forces in today's markets, so could go either way. Positive - Clarity Act movement, ETF inflows, and possible nearing an end to the Iran conflict = Bullish momentum. Looking for close above $77k per my video. Negative - Bearish ERI / TSI on daily chart. Weekly Red 'Sell' block. So we'll have to see who is stronger in the coming days, Bulls or Bears!
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Bitcoin and Crypto Market Update
Bitcoin Breakout
I rather thought we would see this rally sell off in the afternoon, and have a 'shooting star' type candle, showing rejection and likely lower momentum, but this does feel strong and seems to be holding $76k as support, so our 'Bear Flag' pattern may be either postponed or invalidated. I was also saying last week that if / when: - The Clarity Act passes (hearing it's close) and - The Iran conflict in the middle east ends... We'll see a big rally... Plus we had Powell announce $40B in stimulus! So things are looking good! I'd like to see how price action is over the weekend and if this level holds...
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Bitcoin Breakout
Volatility Index Continues Higher
The VIX Volatility Index is over $30 and looks to be building momentum. I also read that Uganda is ready to join the war if his real continues to be attacked. We are not so slowly moving toward and into World War 3 which concerns me. Markets don't like this level of of uncertainty. There are also unconfirmed rumors that the US is insolvent. At some point all of this could cause a dramatic and sudden and possibly exclusive move in Bitcoin but nobody wants to catch a falling knife. I think having some right now makes sense. Buying more in the 50K range also makes sense but keeping powder dry for the chance we see a sudden dramatic capitulation drop. There is still the possibility of a dirty bomb or nuke detonating at the hands of Iran, which would terrify the world and worldwide markets. So I continue to remain cautious and likely will see further downside into the 50K range for Bitcoin before we see a bottom.
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Volatility Index Continues Higher
Bitcoin 3-Day 'Death Cross' Signalling 50% Incoming Drop
In this quick study I'm showing how in Prior Cycles Bitcoin has seen additional 40 to 50% drops from where we are now. On this 3-day charge and looking at the crossover of the 50. EMA below the 200. EMA in blue, we've seen previously deeper corrections in the 50% range. So while we could see a recovery balance in March, since we've been down 5 months with Red candles in a row. I still think this is ominous and looks poised to drop lower. My other studies show a drop to at least the $50,000 to $52,000 range where we can see buyers lined up there for a strong bounce, or potentially bottom using "buyer" block signals. Read full study here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/qtqasZDm-Bitcoin-3-Day-Death-Cross-Signalling-50-Incoming-Drop
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Bitcoin 3-Day 'Death Cross' Signalling 50% Incoming Drop
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