Nov '25 (edited) • Strategic Environment
11/17/2025 - New Market Environment 20+ VIX
While all things like price position, structure, and response all matter, we are fundamentally heading for a different market environment. Again, we don't abandon everything we know because the price suddenly is swinging a lot, but what things we look for in terms of execution now shift. Here's how.
When the VIX is this high, volatility is of course also higher. It can be more difficult to determine what is noise and what is signal, so what things can we look at for signal?
The VIX
Yes, literally, V-I-X.
Watching the VIX intraday is likely to become a very useful tool for decision-making because after reviewing today's trading, there seems to be a common pattern.
The best trades of the day have solid price structure, response, and location on the literal VIX chart.
Meaning we should look at the VIX as confluence for decision-making.
Bad price structure on the VIX and QQQ = well, probably not the best idea.
Good price response, position, and structure on the VIX and the QQQ = could be a good spot.
So instead of being too wrapped up about how HTF (still important), we need to recognize that in higher VIX environments, things can change very quickly—sometimes faster than a HTF chart can appreciate fully. Which means while it's still important to look at, it's unlikely that it has the best information outlet for trading in.
So strategically speaking, moving forward, I will be using the VIX very closely in my decision-making process: cross-correlation, reading, and timing with the VIX for best possible execution.
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11/17/2025 - New Market Environment 20+ VIX
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