Pre-Market 3-17-26
The E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) for the June 2026 contract are trading higher this morning as of around 9:00 AM EDT on March 16, 2026. The current price stands at 24,868.00, up +262.25 points or +1.07% from Friday’s close. Today’s open was 24,719.50, with a session high of 24,903.00 and a low of 24,692.25. Volume is healthy at ~86k contracts early on.
From a technical perspective, NQ is a Strong Buy across most time frames. Moving averages are strongly bullish, indicators (RSI supportive, MACD positive, ADX rising) confirm momentum, though some oscillators are overbought. Pivot points show resistance near 24,903–25,000 and support at 24,692–24,730.
Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with the rebound fueled by tech resilience and slight easing in oil prices after recent Middle East spikes. Broader futures are also firmer (S&P +0.7%, Dow +0.5%), VIX steady in the 21–22 zone.
Fed speakers: None of major significance today.
Key data:
  • 8:30 AM ET: Empire State Manufacturing Index  
  • 9:15 AM ET: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization  
These are the main intraday catalysts but expected to be secondary to the overall rebound tone.
How automated strategies would see today
  • Scalping: Favorable. The volatility spikes around the 8:30/9:15 releases create quick 20–50 point moves with tight spreads. Scalpers can target rapid breakouts above 24,903 or fades at the open low, with very short hold times (minutes) and tight stops — ideal for high-frequency bots.
  • Reversion (mean-reversion): Moderate opportunity. After the initial pop, the market is likely to oscillate around the pivot (~24,828–24,850). Reversion systems can sell over-extensions to resistance and buy pullbacks to support levels, especially if data prints are in-line and price quickly returns to the mean.
  • Diversion / Divergence (or composite diversion strategies): Strong setup. Look for bullish divergence (e.g., price holding above 24,692 while RSI or MACD makes higher lows) during any mid-morning dip. These strategies excel when price action and indicators disagree, which often happens on light-data rebound days like today.
  • Trend / Momentum (e.g., Volturon-style): Good but selective. The overall Strong Buy bias supports trend-following longs above 24,903 with trailing stops, but overbought readings mean waiting for confirmation to avoid whipsaw on any data miss.
Overall, today offers a mixed but constructive environment — best for scalpers and divergence/reversion systems in the morning volatility, while pure trend strategies can participate on confirmed breakouts. Leverage is your friend on the upside bias, but keep stops tight around the data prints and key pivots. Full trading resumes normally tomorrow with the FOMC decision in focus.
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Steven J. Hendriks
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Pre-Market 3-17-26
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