Feb 13 • General discussion
Post-Game 2-13-26
The March NQ contract opened soft around 24,842, quickly probed down to 24,579 (a ~1% dip) on lingering AI/tech rotation pressure from the prior session. The big catalyst was the 8:30 AM CPI print:
- Headline CPI came in at +2.4% YoY (vs. +2.5% expected) and core at +2.5% (in line).
- This was the softest headline reading in months and triggered an immediate relief bounce.
NQ reversed sharply post-release, recovering most of the early losses and closing near 24,778 (+0.04% on the day) after swinging through a 417-point range.
This kind of whipsaw action around high-impact data is exactly the environment where automated systems can get chopped:
- Volturon’s two losses were textbook examples: the short at 10:00 AM EST (right on the Existing Home Sales release) got caught in the post-CPI momentum shift, and the long at 11:30 AM EST got stopped out during the subsequent consolidation/pullback.
- The two wins likely captured the initial dip and one of the cleaner intraday swings, but the chop prevented a bigger net positive.
- Nexum, with its more patient breakout/momentum filter, simply waited for confirmation and rode the cleaner recovery leg.
No major surprises in the data itself—just the usual post-release volatility that tests edge robustness. Both algos stayed within risk parameters and avoided any outsized drawdowns, which is exactly what we designed them for.
Quick note on next week: Monday is President’s Day, so U.S. equity and futures markets are closed (no NQ trading). This gives us a natural pause—perfect timing to run full diagnostics, review any parameter tweaks, and prep for Tuesday’s return with fresh eyes. The lighter holiday-shortened week should also mean lower volume overall, which can sometimes amplify the kind of chop we saw today, so we’ll keep that in mind.
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Post-Game 2-13-26
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