Everyone loves a Bitcoin price prediction. Almost no one shows their work or admits they might be wrong. Before the calendar flips, I decided to fix that and put my best guess on the internet where it can age badly in public. This article breaks down Bitcoin’s past growth, realistic adoption rates, network effects, and the risks that could derail everything. It’s not hype, it’s not prophecy. Just clear thinking, a little math, and a willingness to own the outcome. If nothing else, it’s a fun New Year’s thought experiment. https://cryptoconfidence.substack.com/p/new-years-eve-predictions