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Sarmaaya Skool
6.2k members • Free
148 contributions to Sarmaaya Skool
3d •
DFSM — Monthly Chart Behaviour
DFSM — Monthly Chart Behaviour Long-term structure shows a breakout → retest → expansion sequence. Price has now retraced sharply toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level, with the 0.886 zone acting as the deeper support area. Based on the historical time-cycle symmetry, consolidation is expected rather than another immediate vertical expansion. The key is how price behaves around the 0.786–0.886 retracement zone. A strong hold/reversal here would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
2 likes • 2d
he monthly chart is telling a story of patience, not panic. DFSM's structure is clean: years of consolidation, a channel breakout, a sharp expansion and now a pullback right into the 0.786 retracement zone. This isn't random. It's the market doing what it always does: resetting after excess. The logical read: The 0.786–0.886 zone (roughly 9.80–8.20) is the line in the sand. History shows ~26 months of consolidation after such moves. We're barely into that phase. A vertical re-expansion isn't coming next. Time will do the work, not price. The practical approach: Don't chase. The stock isn't going anywhere fast. Accumulate only if the 0.786 level holds with a reversal signal. If it breaks below 0.886, step aside and reassess. This is a waiting game. The chart rewards those who understand that — and punishes those who don't
2 likes • 1d
@Elite Price Action Exactly that's my point. Most of the worse entries are due to impatient behavior and FOMO.
5d •
What will be the future of KSE100!
This anaylsis was on 19-07- 2026. Key points of Bull run 2009-17: 🟢Last Bull run was complete in 8 years(2009-17) 🟢1st four years(2009-13) RSI was under 70 🟢Next 2 years(2013-15) RSI was Overboght extreme GREED. 🔴On 1 Jan 2015 after six years market drop below RSI 70. 🟢And with in Two years Bull Cycle completed. Now We'll discuss this bull run: 🟢This Bull run (2020-....) 🟢1st four years(2020-24) RSI was under 70✅ 🟢Next 2 years(2024-26) RSI was Overbought extreme GREED.✅ 🔴On 1 Jan 2026 after six years market drop below RSI 70.✅ 🟢And with in Two years Bull Cycle completed.If market behavious the same way then projection are 230k-250k may be more!
1 like • 2d
The symmetry is striking and it's hard to ignore. The last bull run followed a clear rhythm: 4 years of RSI staying under 70 (steady accumulation) 2 years of RSI pushing into overbought territory (extreme greed) RSI breaks below 70 — and within 2 years, the cycle completes Now look at the current run: 2020–2024: RSI under 70 ✅ 2024–2026: RSI overbought ✅ Jan 2026: RSI dropped below 70 ✅ If the pattern holds — and history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes — the next 2 years could complete this cycle, with projections pointing toward 230k–250k, possibly higher. The practical lens: This isn't a signal to go all-in today. It's a framework for the next 24 months. RSI breaking below 70 doesn't mean the bull run is over — it means the final leg may be setting up. Watch for RSI to stabilize and turn back up. That's the confirmation. The cycle says the best may still be ahead. But patience and position sizing will decide who captures it. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only
2 likes • 2d
The chart isn't guessing — it's repeating. Three times now, LEUL has followed the same script: ~180% impulse move — vertical, relentless, overbought ~63–64% correction — deep, painful, sentiment-killing ~130-day consolidation — boredom, disbelief, accumulation The pattern isn't random. It's the market's way of resetting after excess. The first two cycles played out almost identically, and the third is now in the consolidation phase, with roughly 50 days remaining if the 130-day rhythm holds. The practical read: Don't buy the impulse. That's where retail gets trapped. Don't panic-sell the crash. That's where weak hands exit. Accumulate during the consolidation — that's where smart money builds positions quietly. What I'm watching: A breakout above the consolidation range with volume would confirm the next impulse leg. Until then, this is a waiting game. The pattern says patience. The history says it pays
2 likes • 2d
The charts are saying the same thing: this pullback isn't over yet. On the daily, the index has broken its recent uptrend and is heading toward the 163,980 support level. The weekly is even more telling — price has slipped below the 21-week EMA and is now testing a multi-year trendline that dates back to mid-2024. The logical read: That trendline has held every test for over two years. If it breaks, the next real support sits near the 55-week EMA around 164,000 — which conveniently aligns with the daily target. If it holds, this becomes a high-probability reversal zone. The practical approach: Don't rush to buy the dip. Let the index reach the 163,000–164,000 zone first. Watch for a reversal candle or volume spike at that level before committing fresh capital. Keep 20–30% cash ready. If the trendline breaks, you'll want dry powder for the next support. Discomfort is the entry fee for opportunity — but only if you wait for the price to prove itself. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only.
5d •
INTERLOOP LIMITED – FY2026 Results Review
Current Price: ~100 | Dividend Yield: ~4% 💰 Dividend Announcement The Board has recommended a final cash dividend of Rs. 2.00 per share. Combined with the interim dividend of Rs. 2.00 per share already paid, the total dividend for FY2026 stands at Rs. 4.00 per share. No bonus shares or right shares were announced. The dividend will be paid to shareholders registered by October 6, 2026. 📊 Financial Performance – An Exceptional Turnaround Interloop has delivered a very strong FY2026 earnings recovery, with consolidated profit more than doubling, EPS more than doubling, and operating profitability improving substantially. The improvement is visible in both the core business and consolidated results. Revenue: Consolidated sales increased 4.6% to Rs. 187.70 billion from Rs. 179.41 billion – modest top-line growth, but the real story lies in margins. Profitability: Gross profit increased 16.4% to Rs. 42.78 billion from Rs. 36.76 billion. Operating profit surged 40.6% to Rs. 26.25 billion from Rs. 18.66 billion. Profit before tax more than doubled, increasing 119.6% to Rs. 20.00 billion from Rs. 9.11 billion. Profit after tax surged 120.5% to Rs. 12.45 billion from Rs. 5.65 billion. Earnings Per Share: EPS jumped 128% to Rs. 9.06 from Rs. 3.96. 📈 Margins Improved Significantly The most important feature is that profit grew much faster than revenue: - Gross margin improved from approximately 20.5% to 22.8% - Operating margin improved from approximately 10.4% to 14.0% This is a significant improvement in underlying operating efficiency. 🟢 Finance Cost Declined Sharply Finance cost decreased by approximately 35% to Rs. 6.21 billion from Rs. 9.58 billion. This provided a significant boost to pre-tax profitability and helped convert improved operating performance into much higher PBT. 💰 Operating Cash Flow – Major Improvement This is the most important positive. Operating cash flow jumped from Rs. 2.93 billion to Rs. 16.33 billion – a dramatic improvement that confirms the earnings are backed by actual cash generation, not just accounting adjustments.
2 likes • 5d
@Mian Ashar Nazir Appreciated :)
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@muhammad-saqib-abrar-1047
Sarmaaya Student by Passion. Engineer by Profession
Active 2h ago
Joined May 19, 2026
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