Question about the Recession Plan 📉
In the recession plan call, you said “don’t sell now” and also “don’t buy now.” That makes sense to me. By the way, I got so much from this call! But I’m still unclear on the selling strategy specifically. If not now, then when? What would actually trigger a sell decision in a potential pre-recession environment? I’m trying to understand how we balance not selling too early with not riding the full ~50% drawdown. Are we attempting to anticipate a recession based on how significant or permanent the news appears? I assume we don’t want to wait until the market has already fallen 20% before reducing risk. At the same time, if someone held through most of the drawdown, can that still become a major wealth-building opportunity if capital is deployed strategically near the bottom? I’m really trying to understand the decision framework here.