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9 contributions to TGE
Ask Ruben Anything (Submit Questions Here)
Hey friends, going to post the question submission for Monday recorded video, a bit early. Go ahead and ask away.
Ask Ruben Anything (Submit Questions Here)
2 likes • Nov '24
what are the top 3 challenges you had to overcome in trading to get to where you are now?
Ask Ruben Anything (Submit Questions Here)
Hey friends, go ahead and ask me your trading questions: It can be about anything trading related.
Ask Ruben Anything (Submit Questions Here)
1 like • Nov '24
what are the top 3 challenges you had to overcome in trading to get to where you are now?
A Real-World Earnings Lesson: TMDX
I want to share a real-world example from a recent trade of mine that might help you navigate similar scenarios in your trading journey. I went into this earnings season with some long positions on TMDX, expecting it to hit its historical pattern of meeting or exceeding EPS. The forward guidance remained strong, but here’s where the market can throw curveballs: despite stable guidance, the company missed revenue and EPS targets — hitting 0.12 EPS when 0.28 was expected. As a result, the stock price took a sharp 30% dive, and my position lost significant value. Naturally, it felt unexpected. But a closer look at historical performance showed it actually made sense; the stock’s price pulled back to a level previously seen when it last reported similarly low EPS, essentially rebalancing itself. Key Takeaways 1. Historical Context Matters: It’s essential to understand how past earnings can set benchmarks for stock behavior. TMDX dropped to align with its previous low EPS cycle, proving that the market often “remembers” certain thresholds. 2. EPS and PE Ratios Are Key Signals: Earnings per share and PE ratios can reveal more than initial guidance suggests. Learning to read these metrics helps clarify when a price movement may or may not be justified. 3. Not Every Drop is a Buy Opportunity: Just because the stock dropped doesn’t mean it’s time to jump back in. Sometimes, it’s best to let the dust settle and observe if earnings improve next quarter before re-entering. Action Steps - Research Historical Performance: Before committing to a position around earnings, take time to examine how the stock responded to past reports with similar earnings misses. - Avoid Knee-Jerk Reactions: When a position takes a loss, review the fundamentals before deciding on your next move. Sometimes the market pullback is actually a healthy reset. - Plan Ahead: Consider re-evaluating your position closer to the next earnings report. If EPS returns to a reasonable level, it may indicate recovery potential.
A Real-World Earnings Lesson: TMDX
2 likes • Oct '24
thank you for sharing. Very refreshing to see someone post about trades that don't pan out and giving the lesson from it (unlike the gurus I see who only post win after win, trying to make it look like they have a 100% win rate). Super valuable too, since now I can hopefully avoid this kind of mistake by taking the same action steps!
You can only pick 2 indicators
Friends, out of all the ones you use… Pick 2. Post them in the comments Tell us why too!
1 like • Oct '24
@Ruben Leija I can't maths apparently 🤣
2 likes • Oct '24
@Charles Antonini thank you!
1-9 of 9
Guillermo Rubio
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28points to level up
@guillermo-rubio
Work: Copywriting Fun: Music production & Songwriting

Active 4h ago
Joined Oct 17, 2024
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