💰 Monday Money Memo - 2025 Review
The Year in One Sentence… “2025 was the year markets rewarded adaptability — and punished anyone who assumed the old playbook still worked.” If you were flexible, selective, and patient → you probably did well. If you chased narratives without respecting price → the market reminded you who’s in charge. ✅ 2025 Market Recap (The Big Picture) Stocks - Large-cap tech and AI-linked names dominated headlines again — but this year came with more pullbacks, more skepticism, and more “prove it” moments. - Indexes finished strong overall, but returns were uneven. A few names did the heavy lifting. Many stocks went nowhere. 💡 Key lesson: Indexes going up ≠ most people making money. Crypto - Bitcoin spent much of the year consolidating, frustrating both bulls and bears. - Institutional interest quietly increased, even while price action stayed boring. 💡Key lesson: Boring accumulation phases are where future volatility is born. ✅ What Actually Mattered in 2025 (Not the Noise) 🤖 AI Grew Up 2025 was the year AI stopped being a buzzword and started being a business conversation. Markets moved from “AI will change everything” to: ➡️ Who’s profitable? Who’s spending too much? Who actually wins? Why this matters: The easy money phase is over. The selective money phase has begun. 🏦 The Fed Lost Its Scare Power Rates still mattered — but they didn’t dominate every single week like prior years. Markets learned to live with uncertainty instead of waiting for perfect clarity. Why this matters: The market doesn’t need certainty to move. It needs direction. 💰 Liquidity Was the Real Driver When liquidity expanded → risk assets breathed. When liquidity tightened → volatility snapped back fast. Why this matters: Narratives follow liquidity. Always. ✅ The Biggest Mistakes Traders Made in 2025 ❌ Overtrading chop So many accounts died not from big losses — but from death by boredom. ❌ Confusing conviction with stubbornness Holding losers “because the thesis is right” was expensive.