4d (edited) • SKOOL UPDATES
Day 2 - Options Expiry Impact: BTC & ETH
early $3B in BTC and ETH options are expiring, and this is a key stress test for current price levels.
Ahead of large options expiries, price often gets pulled toward max pain, where the most contracts expire worthless. This can suppress real direction and create false breakouts. Once expiry passes, that artificial pressure is removed and true market intent is revealed.
What this means right now:
• Price action before expiry can be misleading
• Volatility is often compressed into expiry
• Directional moves tend to show after contracts settle
What I’m watching:
• Does BTC hold key levels after expiry
• Does ETH reclaim or reject its short-term range
• Volatility expansion once dealer hedging unwinds
Risk management reminder:
Pre-expiry is not the time to over-leverage or force trades. Post-expiry confirmation is where higher-probability opportunities usually appear.
Trade the reaction, not the anticipation.
Question for you:
What does options expiry mean for your risk management this week — tighter stops, smaller size, or waiting for confirmation?
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Day 2 - Options Expiry Impact: BTC & ETH
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