With CPI dropping at 8:30am ET, expect fast moves and fake-outs early. These are the key zones I’m watching for confirmation after the initial reaction.
📈 SPY (Market Direction / Broad Index)
Bullish scenario:
• Hold above VWAP + pre-market high
• Reclaim and hold recent resistance / prior day high
• Best setups come on a pullback + higher low
Bearish scenario:
• Rejection at pre-market high
• Loss of VWAP with volume
• Continuation below prior day low opens room for downside
📊 QQQ (Tech / Growth Sensitivity)
Bullish scenario:
• Strong hold above pre-market range
• Break and hold above key intraday resistance
• Look for continuation after the first pullback
Bearish scenario:
• Failed breakout above resistance
• Loss of VWAP + morning support
• Weak bounce = potential continuation lower
⏱️ CPI TRADING RULES (IMPORTANT):
✔️ First 5–15 minutes = information, not entries
✔️ Let the market choose direction
✔️ Wait for confirmation + structure
✔️ Smaller size if trading the news
✔️ Protect capital — there will always be another setup
This is a reaction day, not a prediction day. Let price tell the story, then execute with discipline. I’ll update the group once the market shows real direction.
Happy Trading 📈 🚀